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  1. bone

    /NG-/HH spread trading

    OMG, where do you get these unfounded fantasies from, the movie "Trading Places"? :D
  2. bone

    /NG-/HH spread trading

    The NG contract is for physical delivery, and the HH contract is financially settled. Although the HH contract settlement is derived from the NG final settlement - the basis for physical delivery (the pipeline and storage basis) provides a "wildcard" differential between the two. The HH...
  3. bone

    /NG-/HH spread trading

    You can PM me over the most mundane minutiae - but you can't PM me over something actually important and trading related? :rolleyes::D
  4. bone

    Forecasting the Yield Curve

    Clients have been taking STIR and longer dated expiry yield curve trades the past few weeks. Heads up ! ;)
  5. bone

    Dalio goes full retard, likes MMT

    Backstory to the above linked article is the University of Chicago's poll of very prominent economists about the viability of MMT: https://www.igmchicago.org/surveys/modern-monetary-theory/ Hyper-Inflation and the ability for the Country to successfully issue bonds are common themes. Some...
  6. bone

    Dalio goes full retard, likes MMT

    https://review.chicagobooth.edu/economics/2019/article/can-us-print-its-way-out-deficit "But Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has described MMT as “just wrong.” And when Chicago Booth’s Initiative on Global Markets polled its Economic Experts Panel, it found no unabashed MMT fans. None of...
  7. bone

    Water Futures to Start Trading Amid Growing Fears of Scarcity

    These new contracts are always "Roach Motels". This was an advert for a Raid brand home insect trap decades ago, where the motto was: "they can get in, but they can't get back out".
  8. bone

    China is national security threat No. 1 JOHN RATCLIFFE

    If you had even bothered to read my earlier posts to Beautiful Stranger in this thread, you would have realized that was exactly what I was saying to him. He brought up the idea of the Chinese attacking the US (on the US mainland no less) through the use of Chinese Special Forces and...
  9. bone

    China is national security threat No. 1 JOHN RATCLIFFE

    Tariffs are different than Embargoes. Think before you troll.
  10. bone

    Tesla Short Seller Backs Off

    There will always be a "perpetual" bid from 401K and pension buyers, but let there be no doubt that Selling can overpower Buying.
  11. bone

    China is national security threat No. 1 JOHN RATCLIFFE

    I personally don't put much stock in Russia being a legitimate national security threat to the US. Certainly not on the level of China.
  12. bone

    China is national security threat No. 1 JOHN RATCLIFFE

    Well, China has only made things worse in terms of their antagonistic and highly confrontational relationships with their neighbors like India, Australia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Vietnam.
  13. bone

    China is national security threat No. 1 JOHN RATCLIFFE

    I can think of nothing more asinine than for China to directly or indirectly orchestrate subversive terror in the United States. The United States is their largest export market and the EU at number two is a distant second. With a stroke of a pen, under such a circumstance the President of...
  14. bone

    China is national security threat No. 1 JOHN RATCLIFFE

    No, China at present does not have the capability to place any sort of meaningful Special Forces into the United States. And China has no allies that would be willing or able to do the same. At this point in time - there is only one military in the world that can project and sustain military...
  15. bone

    Best Trading Opportunities Q4 2020

    I'm watching the US Dollar Index. We are rapidly approaching the 2017/18 Lows. If we can crash through that support, then you're looking at 2012, 13, and 14 Lows. And the ECB is sweating bullets right now.
  16. bone

    Tiger nearly bites volunteer's arm off at Florida cat sanctuary run by Carole Baskin from 'Tiger Kin

    Tiger nearly bites volunteer's arm off at Florida cat sanctuary run by Carole Baskin from 'Tiger King' https://abcnews.go.com/US/tiger-bites-volunteers-arm-off-florida-cat-sanctuary/story?id=74521971 A tiger attacked and seriously injured a volunteer at a big cat sanctuary in Tampa, Florida...
  17. bone

    Big Short’ investor Michael Burry Reveals He’s Short Tesla

    Probably safe to say that if he's gone public with his position - he's feeling considerable pain.
  18. bone

    Tesla Short Seller Backs Off

    Well, the short covering exhaustion bid is typically the final leg of a rally. :cool: :vomit:
  19. bone

    2020 started off as incredible for short sellers but ended in Disaster

    If most shorts tend to take profits quickly as you stated - then how exactly did 2020 become "one of their worst years ever"? Do you work for BuzzFeed by chance?
  20. bone

    USD vs CAD for Canadians

    It sounds like IB has a superior method for traders to hedge FX fluctuations. CME FX is NOT illiquid for the larger names. Many small lot orders, but the order book is populated. Yesterday the CAD Dec future traded 64,162. Volume in March was 4,681. The Dec-Mar calendar spread is one tic...
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