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After last night's debate I decided that I might vote for Obama over McCain. I think Mac would do more damage. Most significant decisions that Mac has made on his own have been a disaster. Consequently he must simply blindly trust his "friends". I hate it when someone drops a string of names...

you make reasonable arguments, but I would make slightly different ones. 1. Instead of birth as a reasonable determiner, I would suggest infant viability as a reasonable determiner. It is very easy to argue that an infant has a right to life if it could be removed from the mother's body and...

Everyone here knows that I don't very often agree with rcanfiel, but I do wish that people would quit acting like Wikipedia is any less accurate than other sources. Especially on important topics, wiki is very scrutinized and quit to fix errors. In my certain areas of expertise I've found...

Just to prove my point. 14:15 today TNX was at 3.7% FED CUTS RATES 0.50% TNX currently @ 3.75% and climbing with market. Again, FF rate adjustment has NO SHORT TERM CORRELATION WITH TNX, and thus no correlation with mortgage rates.

Both of them are against the Bush Tax Cuts and are vowing to discontinue them. The Bush tax cuts included lower cap gains tax. History speaks for itself. DEMs think that lower cap gains taxes are the ultimate tax cut fo the rich only, and that is the first thing they raise. Long -Term...

Yes the 10-year note has a natural ceiling as people have no incentive to chase a yield lower than 3%.

The OPs question seemed related to a short-term relationship, and wondering why the 0.75% cut resulted in a rise in mortgage rates. I explained it thoroughly.

I'll refer to the 10-year as TNX because that is the ticker used to track yields. There isn't a natural ceiling for TNX as you can see from 1982. The biggest influencing factors for TNX is inflation and investor fear. The FF rate has only an indirect relation because th FED drops rates...

You're dreaming. The TY yield is based on supply/demand. High demand for the TY means lower yields. I don't know how you can make that statement when just days ago there was massive evidence to the contrary. On the 22nd the previous day's close on the TY yield was 3.65 and the FED...

I suspect the same thing. Look at how high cap gains taxes have been in the past, and then realize they will return to that with a DEM in office. I don't know why anyone on these boards supports any of the DEMs running right now. You must be right. Most of them must not make any money trading.

The mortgage rate isn't tied to the fed fund rate. It is tied to the 10-year note, which is correlated with the stock market. A stock market rally generally means a shift out of bonds and into stocks. This causes the 10-year yield to rise. IOW, If the fed funds rate drops 0.75% and...

The reason Greenspan didn't make a difference was because his job was monetary policy. His opinions of tax were pointless as he had absolutely no influence on that aspect. The President has the most influence on fiscal policy, so if Mitt were elected we would very likely see another drop in...

I would tend to agree, but I think the big states are given too much credit. A victory in NY, NJ, and CA still only leaves Mac with about 150 delegates which is only about 15% of what's needed to get the nomination. Our system specifically makes it harder for a candidate to win only big states...

Answers to many questionnaires are indicating that Floridians are voting for whomever is deemed most likely to beat Hillary. When someone wins a big state it makes them more popular and thus more likely to win in the future. Personally I think Mitt has the best chance against Hillary, but...

Yeah, I'm not a Bush hater, but in terms of the fiscal and social aspects of the job he was found wanting. Preventing attacks on US soil during the last 7 years has been no easy task, as other countries were still hit. I give him at least partial credit for that. Ironically, the war on...

Mitt has been proposing zero cap gains tax for his entire career. He is the biggest opponent of cap gains tax of them all, but that doesn't seem to matter to most people on these boards.

Actually I looked further into it and a huge part of these early votes are actually figured into the polls. Florida has a weird early vote system. Pretty much anybody can request an early ballot without proving hardship. I guess a ton of people request them even though they would still be...

I would say this is reversed. If Mac wins FL it is a dogfight. He will win the big states where he can focus his efforts. Mitt has the money to campaign in the smaller states. Mac doesn't have the money to compete on a national basis with Mitt. If Rudy stays in through Feb 5, then Mac is...

Religion is a non-issue for Romney. Only an issue right now because Huck is running. Non-issue in the generals though. Only DEMs penalize a candidate being rich. GOP doesn't really care and in many cases prefers it. It is the perceived flip-flop that will hurt Mitt the most. Mac just...

I understand your sentiment, but this thread is for objective analysis of the election process. Conspiracy theories and all other political nonsense doesn't really have a place here. Obviously, as I've stated before, I think Mitt is the single best candidate in the field. There are other...