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    ET Official Bottom Watch Thread

    Looks like we'll have a 1000 dow points rally today.
  2. N

    ET Official Bottom Watch Thread

    The most unexpected thing that the market can do today is to go up. Therefore, it's going to happen.
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    10 Things that may push the market lower

    I agree. There have been 10 years of ups and downs, and the net effect is essentially 0% returns. I think we are going back to the old school model where the stocks would have to offer dividend yields twice the long bond yield, to make the equities favorable again.
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    Scary market

    It has, indeed. It's just occurred over the last 2 weeks, while everyone was expecting a one day drop. What's going to happen for the next few months is that moms and pops will be selling while the professionals will be accumulating.
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    Dow 450 points of lows and surging ..August 16th 2007 again

    The dividend yield on the S&P is around 2% and dropping. So, over the last 10 years, you got 2% return and a lot of risk. If that's not convincing, here is another chart reflecting the sorry state of affairs:
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    Dow 450 points of lows and surging ..August 16th 2007 again

    I've been bearish since the dow 14,000 last yer, and I have not changed my stance, either. The entire concept of "stocks go up over long haul" needs to be questioned.
  7. N

    Just started trading and want opinions.

    Trading futures with $1500 is not going to work either.
  8. N

    Another CNBC "Wall St Crisis" live show this Sunday evening?

    I think their clock shows the hundreds of a second, not milliseconds, but I am with you, man, this is just silly either way.
  9. N

    Spooz down 30%

    We are actually back to the 1998 levels on the SPX. 10 years, a lot of pain, and no gain (except the dividends).
  10. N

    what just happened

    :) This is pretty good shit, dude!
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    How close is Wachovia to becoming the next WM?

    This looks very interesting to me: "Citigroup has granted the FDIC $12 billion in preferred stock and warrants to compensate the FDIC for bearing the risk, according to the press release." Has this been done before?
  12. N

    How close is Wachovia to becoming the next WM?

    My quotes show that WB traded as low as $3.10 pre-market today.
  13. N

    Tax on Trades Should Be Part of Rescue Plan, Some Democrats Say

    Alternative link: http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/rescuebill_First_Draft.pdf
  14. N

    Tax on Trades Should Be Part of Rescue Plan, Some Democrats Say

    I found the draft here: http://i.cdn.turner.com/money/2008/images/09/28/ayo08c04_xml.pdf I don't see any provisions for "taxing the trades", but then again, it's a 110 pages document, so I may have missed it.
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    Tax on Trades Should Be Part of Rescue Plan, Some Democrats Say

    Does anyone have a link to the Nancy/Harry proposed bill? I don't see anything at financialservices.house.gov/
  16. N

    The Top Seven Reasons Why 90% of Daytraders Fail

    8. Day trading is a game with a negative expectancy. If there were no transaction costs involved (spreads and commissions), we would probably see 50% losers and 50% winners (i.e. a zero sum game).
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    Trading Strategies: Systems Across Different Instruments & Low Probability Systems

    I use neither of these "three elements", and I believe I have a good system (in fact, a couple of them).
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    Check out this section of that proposed bill that failed.

    Incorrect. Re-read the original post carefully, and note the clause "of the amount referred to in paragraph (1)". 20% or more will be allocated to Housing Trust Fund and Capital Magnet Fund. The rest will go to Treasury.
  19. N

    WM butchered after hours.

    What makes this almost comical is that the previous CEO, Killinger, also walked away with a lot of dough:
  20. N

    WM butchered after hours.

    Things are moving too fast. Here is the WaMu release from just a few days ago: "WaMu continues to be confident that it has sufficient liquidity and capital to support its operations while it returns to profitability".
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