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Thanks Surdo, I'll make sure to pass on the posts on this thread to Tony later today. Your support is appreciated.

I also want to open a blog to explain some of the science behind the arguments I present in my posts. Of course I also have models that will stay secret but the output of these models is starting to look less and less like missing pieces to my explanations and more and more like parallel...

I see the same thing and also see the duration of my positions shrinking. For example, I entered a long position last week that I think will need to be liquidated as early as the first or second week of June.

Nothing besides a link to his <b>blog</b>. Barron needs to clearly define the difference between <b>A. a commercial website with payment processing capabilities </b> and <b>B. a personal blog.</b> and reassure his sponsors that while allowing members to share as many references as...

The waiting game continues in global markets but I'm glad that bonds, being oversold, are showing some impatience to rally.

He's still long.

<b>I have some bad news for the future of this popular thread.</b> This thread started when Tony Caldaro and I took a bearish position at a time when bonds were peeking in January. We both had our own reasons and methods, and it didn't take long before other highly disciplined traders joined...

There will be plenty of opportunities for damage control this week. Bernanke speaks at the Atlanta Fed's hedge funds conference tomorrow evening; John Snow will testify Thursday about the semi-annual FX report to the Senate Banking Committee, and will give a speech at the Bond Market...

Works with sharks but not very well on alligators apparently.

Newcastle

I see more resistance to the falling dollar than I expected. That's good. The week is starting on a very positive note for bonds. If stocks don't rebound too quickly, we'll have our rally tomorrow.

<b>IGNORE THAT CHART</b> Sorry, I did it again. The IMG link in my last post points to a changing chart. It is supposed to be a link to the US Dollar Index at...

I'm impressed by the knowledge that has been shared here since Friday but I think that as we are about to start a new week, an assessment of the current situation is in order. What is going on and what is likely to happen in the next few days? To me it is clear that we have a developing...

Knowledge of the typical emotions involved is the biggest breakthrough most will realize. The emotions listed on this thread and other threads created for that purpose have the following characteristics: 1. They tend to be universal. Most will relate to the majority of mistakes (made with the...

I thought you were going to say <font color=brown><b>catching a falling knife</b></font>.

LOL. That's what I think when I read your posts in Chit Chat (everything besides 9-11).

Oh woaw, that makes this scenario even more likely then.

Fresh positions in bonds are often delayed until the beginning of the following week. If prices are stable Monday, a rally is likely to start Tuesday.

Smart.

- averaging down; - revenge trading; - keeping a position while "hoping" that things will turn around somehow; - rushing in a trade with the fear of missing out on an opportunity.