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  1. S

    Prepare for more upside manipulation short term

    Superior information means (and should mean) superior influence.
  2. S

    Horrible Job Numbers-but only 4.9% unemp.

    I concur. Even the most positive indicators, among the ones I used, show that we’re still not better off than we were in 2002. A majority of the jobs created during the 2002-2004 period were part-time jobs and many failed to recognize that for the simple reason that the Payroll Survey...
  3. S

    Horrible Job Numbers-but only 4.9% unemp.

    In contrast to the employment numbers coming from the Payroll Survey, the Household Survey indicates continuous strength with +373,000 employed.
  4. S

    Horrible Job Numbers-but only 4.9% unemp.

    I was disappointed by the job report this morning because I developed an indicator that is similar to the Monster Employment Index (similar methodology and similar results) that pointed to much higher employment. But the overall picture is still very good if you look at what I consider to be...
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    Too many Doomsday predictions for there to be one.

    The situation has changed dramatically. Apparently the pipelines are fixed and gas prices that had shot up 60 cents in the past couple of days are going back down but very unevenly. I got to see something I thought I would never live to see: a difference of 30 cents between two gas stations...
  6. S

    Too many Doomsday predictions for there to be one.

    Raleigh - THE TWO MAJOR PIPELINES THAT FURNISH GASOLINE TO MANY STATES, INCLUDING NORTH CAROLINA, HAVE BEEN AFFECTED BY HURRICANE KATRINA AND ARE CURRENTLY WITHOUT ELECTRICITY. THEY SERVICE NORTH CAROLINA AND 8-10 OTHER STATES. 90 PERCENT OF OUR GAS COMES FROM THESE PIPELINES AND RIGHT...
  7. S

    Incredible Squeezes

    I think the employment report this Friday will surprise many with a much stronger than expected payroll number.
  8. S

    It this market being proped up?

    I've responded "No one, it's the natural order of things" because I think the stock market has a propensity to go up for the same reason the oil market is going up, and the stock market has no problem with higher oil prices as long as they don't go up too fast. Long oil/long stocks.
  9. S

    The Market is Always Right.

    My attitude with markets is to try to decipher the story they have to tell about the economy. I look at stocks, bonds, fx, oil and gold and try to come up with a single coherent explanation for their behavior. I stopped buying Barron's 20 years ago, the WSJ over 10 years ago, and now I only...
  10. S

    The Market is Always Right.

    The title of this thread sounds like a re-formulation of your other thread's title: "10% of traders take money from complainers".
  11. S

    Oil Getting Crushed...

    Actually, you were ahead of me on this one. After compiling and processing my bond data this weekend, I was left amazed by the magnitude by which market bias had dropped last Friday. Bonds are not undervalued anymore because of the change of sentiment that took place Friday. I still think...
  12. S

    Missing Data at cbot.com

    Anybody knows why the Settlement page for call and put options at www.cbot.com doesn't display quotes anymore? The Settlement page (http://www.cbot.com/cbot/pub/page/0,3181,1334,00.html) displays a No Data Available message accompanied by an explanation informing us that there's no data...
  13. S

    Have the skills, but lost and all alone.

    If you know C++, learn network programming in Java and start downloading data with URLConnection objects. You'll quickly end up with an panoply of programs downloading and processing data at no cost. I've even figured out a way to get real-time data, for free also.
  14. S

    Oil Getting Crushed...

    Are you still short the 10 Year Note?
  15. S

    Oil Getting Crushed...

    My data indicates the following situation for bonds/stocks/oil: OIL: While the trend is still up, it's price has been going up too fast since July 21st. It's about 3 dollars too high. STOCKS: While the trend is flat, the Dow is about 300 points below the level where it should be. BONDS...
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    Is there anybody here from France ?

    If the world would be simpler with only one language spoken by everybody, it would also be simpler if we all ate burgers. Seriously Kicking, I think you're a smart guy -- you are aware of the basic arguments to be expected in a debate of this nature -- but you are in a phase of your life where...
  17. S

    Is there anybody here from France ?

    Bach and Vivaldi: my favorites.
  18. S

    Is there anybody here from France ?

    Really? Just French or also German, Arabic, Italian etc?
  19. S

    Is there anybody here from France ?

    C'est la ballade des gens heureux (petit jardin,gentil petit vieux).
  20. S

    NYC and Raleigh Traders Needed for Interviews

    I see what you mean. The ads would be a glorified version of the customers they have interviewed, not clips from the actual tapes. Of course.
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