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    Ben Bernanke Bonds and the greenBack

    I remember 1987. The dollar had been going down and down and concerted Central bank efforts were then only having minor or temporary effects on currency fluctuations. Because the Fed was getting additional pressure from the FX market to increase interest rates, financial markets focused...
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    What is wrong with the Treasury Market?

    Higher oil prices combined with PIMCO's belief that risk premiums on long term bonds are too low is ONE of several reasons why I suspect PIMCO to sell 30 year bonds while buying the 10 year right now. <i>With the Fed near the end of its tightening cycle and the term risk premium embedded in...
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    What is wrong with the Treasury Market?

    What about the thirty year market? Are there indications that PIMCO or Goldman is selling ZB's while buying ZN's?
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    Prepare for a big rally 2:35 1/18

    Here we go again?
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    What is wrong with the Treasury Market?

    Thank you for your reply and for your posts in general but looking at the price action from 11:00 to 15:00 depicted in the attached chart, you don't think that it was VERY gradual and VERY smooth? The reason why I insist on this is that if there is something I don't see or understand, I would...
  6. S

    What is wrong with the Treasury Market?

    Are you sure about "someone" moving prices back up? The little rally between the end of the morning and the end of the session looked like a very gradual and smooth process -- the kind you see when one side is abandoning the market to the other side with the intention of coming back soon at a...
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    Ben Bernanke Bonds and the greenBack

    The FX market has been focusing A LOT lately on hawkish comments from the ECB and changes in interest rate differentials in favor of the Euro, so if bonds fall this week and yields go up, the FX market will get the interest rate reaction it needed to support the dollar again. Everything seems...
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    US equity monday moves

    Uhmm... I meant <b>v</b>igorous. I think that a day like today will be end up being a confidence builder for investors who didn't see their indicators deteriorate during their weekend analysis, especially if they got "oversold" signals.
  9. S

    Ben Bernanke Bonds and the greenBack

    <i>A technical indicator suggested that losses in the U.S. currency will stall. The 10-day relative strength index against the euro was about 69.396 yesterday. A level around 70 signals a reversal may occur.</i> http://www.bloomberg.com/news/markets/currencies.html
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    Follow the Analyst...

    Is it http://www.starmine.com ?
  11. S

    What is wrong with the Treasury Market?

    P.S. Looking at the last two tops and how the ZN-ZB divergence reversed from one top to the other while skepticism was building about the general consensus on a near end to the Fed's cycle of interest rate hikes, I believe that the people who have been selling bonds since Thursday are not...
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    What is wrong with the Treasury Market?

    Stocks going down at lunch time with sellers(in the bond market) still on the sidelines.
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    Options or Futures?

    I trade options on futures for positions that I keep for several weeks, except for the occasional scalping with aggressive packs of out-of-the money options.
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    Long DJIA futures this morning

    What is the timeframe on your trade? Is it for today or for this week?
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    US equity monday moves

    Also, fresh data on the economy and Fed comments that followed their release indicate that the economy is more rigorous than what was thought last fall when markets focused on soft economic data. If stocks only fall moderately or go up Monday, I think we'll then have a good rebound throughout...
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    The difference between winners and losers

    I'll let someone else with a better sense of humor reply to that.
  17. S

    The difference between winners and losers

    As a quick check, I searched both handles and found right away what I was expecting: the first posting date for hairdresser was right after the last posting date for areyoukidding. Kind of confirmed my doubts.
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    Prepare for a big rally 2:35 1/18

    Now that the bond market is closed, would be a good time to buy.
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    The difference between winners and losers

    Now, there's no more doubts: <font color=blue>hairdresser</font> = <font color=blue>areyoukidding?</font>
  20. S

    Japanese bull market over

    Japan is very vulnerable to high oil prices so I wouldn't be surprised if the recent run-up in oil prices contributed to the negative sentiment.
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