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  1. J

    EXAS April options mis-priced

    Yeah, I hear you. I'm in Austin, barely 90 minutes from West, which has been partially blown off the map. It seems half our trauma personnel are up there.
  2. J

    EXAS April options mis-priced

    Beats me. I sold 10 Apr $6 puts for 40 cents a month ago and bought 'em back on Monday for 25 cents. Booked a smooth $123.44 after commissions and fees. Drinks are on me, boys. :D
  3. J

    EXAS April options mis-priced

    Can you explain how you landed on this combination? What would the advantage be over, say, 3 collars?
  4. J

    EXAS April options mis-priced

    Can you elaborate? I see there isn't much change in theta from May to October, but I can still purchase near-unity delta at a discount with say a $6 OCT13 long call. I give up a bit of breakeven, but if it really pops . . . ???
  5. J

    EXAS April options mis-priced

    Great post! Thank you. I knew most of the clinical details but not some of the regulatory issues. Very interesting. I will listent to the CC and consider long calls or stock nstead of my short puts after doing so.
  6. J

    Trend Following depends on Prediction

    I have been paper-trading & back-testing a couple of different trend-following methods for a while now. I don't think it's right to imply that things are breaking down. On another thread, I showed the results of a ridiculously simple system using weekly ATR14 Renko reversals that gained 10.6%...
  7. J

    EXAS April options mis-priced

    I sold 10 Apr13 $6 puts on EXAS a few weeks ago @ $0.40. You guys are making me nervous. I may close them out for a small profit. I did my due diligence, but it apparently wasn't diligent enough. I am amazed at how often I learn just how much I don't know.
  8. J

    Trend Following: Profitable Reality or an Illusion doomed to Failure?

    New poster here -- I've thoroughly enjoyed lurking for a while, though. While very comfortable with advanced math in my engineering world, I am not a seasoned investor nor a stats guy. Be that as it may: If I plot a (ahem) Renko chart of the S&P using weekly ATR14 bricks on stockcharts.com...
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