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This is driven by speculative capital, bidding the price up. Look at what the oil-producing nations have to say! If some big consumer, most probably in Asia (as US probably wouldn't release stocks from Strategic Oil Reserves, even if its President wasn't a puppet of Big Oil) would hold back...

This is one of the most interesting threads in ET. I think it's interesting to observe that there are practically no posts by futures traders (with the exception of tango29).

What in fact makes market movements? "the physics of a living, breathing organism and the laws of nature" ? What about "They", the people who run the markets. Players who have the power to strong-arm the markets, regardless of funnymentals or newsnoise.

I would have written about the "Reflexivity" theory, but trade-ya beat me to it :-) The "newsnoise" transmitted via the mainstream media is nothing more than noise. I remember in Schwager's "Market Wizards" book, he wrote that the reporters would have a list of two columns: bullish and...

Now that we're "on the roll" getting fixes :-) let me also mention a -trivial- UI issue with TWS workspace management: File -> Manage workspaces -> import opens the child-window named "Open" (to select the workspace to import) HIDDEN UNDER the current active "Manage workspaces" window...

Yes, ER2 is totally detached from big-cap indices. I think the divergences started in early 2005. You can confirm it by looking at how individual stocks of similar capitalisation react, simply because they belong to different indices (R2K vs SP500) Some think this is indicative the...

omni, Will you posting trades in your journal (e.g. like Guy2's one about singles) or mainly MP analysis of ER2? Also, since you have a method, you could apply it to different symbols (e.g. bonds) to get more opportunities.

Google has unique technology and is years ahead of competition (Yahoo and Microsoft). Yahoo has had every chance to get its act together, but it is still lagging considerably. 2yr ago it was awful. Last 1yr things have improved with Yahoo, but not in a decisive way. On the Internet, a...

I'd be very interested in a side-by-side comparison between TT XTraderPro and other high-end DOME front-ends (Ninja, TradeMaven or Button). I have trialed/used most 3rd party order mgmt apps for IB and PATS. They can scale-in/out and support OCO barcket pairs. Ninja doesn't support...

Which markets (CME, CBOT, Eurex etc) do you trade via Ninja/PATS? What style (Scalping)? I'm asking because looking at Ninja's development history, it seems to have reverted back to prior version of PATS API library, so there must be some bugs in later PATS APIs. Which FCM, RCG? (where the...

A -minor- issue IB TWS developers may want to look into: In the case of multiple login names (users) trading the same (institutional) IB account. When one user makes a change to a NATIVE exchange order, e.g. move LMT BUY xx.x to yy.y, or STPLMT etc, the change is correctly reflected into...

Well, Ninja supports PATS, but I've never used it myself for "real" trading (i.e. lots of orders, modifications, cancels etc). I would be very interested to hear people's RECENT experiences with PATS, with any of the larger FCMs (e.g. ManFinancial). Because I never really looked again at PATS...

Here's what Stiglitz has to say in latest article in FT: There is a myth of mutual dependence: China needs to export goods to the US, which needs China’s money to finance its deficit. But China could easily make up for the loss of exports to America – and the wellbeing of its citizens...

This is reply I just wrote in another thread: http://www.othernet.org/ Dozens of free rooms, with thousands of traders there. Markets include futures, equities, forex, regional markets etc. Software to use: http://www.mirc.com/ there are also other s/w as well as Java-clients that...

What about Ninja and Button? (unfortunately Button is IB-specific only, Ninja has IB/PATS/MBT) Both seem excellent for scalping to me.

IB, could you please clarify (either here or point me to some URL) something about submitting and cancelling GLOBEX orders afterhours (pre-market whatever) I had a active, running (green color) pair of OCO orders (bracket orders STOP for stoploss /LIMIT for profit target) in EuroFX/GLOBEX and...

Is anyone following GaveKal's research closely and can offer can opinion? What are their credentials? I have studied some of their material in the past and I thought it had some logical errors and glaring omissions. E.g. on the subject of currency moves, which is the article quoted above...

I'm not an expert on global macro hedge funds and how they place their bets, so maybe you -or anyone else familiar with the subject- could enlighten me. I know long Yen/USD (also as proxy for Yuan appreciation) was supposed to be the big play for 2005. Ray Dalio had a nice interview recently...

How can you tell? The COT in JPY futures shows record speculative shorts in CME's JPY/USD (futures and futures+options). It is reasonable to say that the positions in the OTC market are similar. If so, where are the speculative bets long Yen? As far as I can tell, everyone is short Yen...

Baron, A few days ago, I copied an article from Hussman ( http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=52763 ), citing the original URL as source (which in my opinion is common courtesy, when copying someone's original content in verbatim) and apparently one of your moderators...