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Two of your three charts show Biden "doing better" than Trump at that point in time (I assume these are the major US indices). Not that it matters because wholly attributing short term stock market performance to individual presidents is clown level analysis, although there are average...

Nice memory from my high school economics course. :) Simply put not enough people are prepared to change their habit of buying cocoa based products unless it's a heck of a lot more expensive, especially since a lot of products are not pure cocoa and will not increase in price as dramatically as...

We have 10x leverage on mechanically identical stock derivatives in Sweden and for indices much higher. They're not dangerous per se if you understand that eventually they will end up at zero and you need to sell before then. The issue rather is volatility drag and the fact most return...

"The big conspiracy" is a lazy explanation to complex topics, much like God.

None of these weekend "gold" markets are accurate. The price of gold on the weekend is simply undefined, your best bet is to wait until futures open. Here's one that spiked to 3k when the attack was initiated but is +2.5% at time of writing: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/pax-gold/ Pretty...

He won the QE lottery for sure. I do think that making the best of what the circumstances offer is fair to term success though.

Fundamentals are not the whole story here. Another part is market internals: There's are large money flows acting as volatility suppressants. As soon as there's any not too powerful spike in vol there are so many actors willing to sell vol into it. You might also consider that the current rate...

Is it repeatable? What was the probability of a massive loss? Was there leverage? (almost certainly...) One person's bad is another person's good and vice versa.

The 90% figure is a bit of a simplification I guess. There's a difference between unbiased DT of stocks where transaction costs vs noobs attempting to trade based on a cool sounding indicator/system/... should lead to almost only failures, DT/swinging exclusively long stocks in a bull market...

Haha seriously :P

This is the part of psychology where you assume others do what you do... or the opposite: you do like you think others do. That's why it's so damaging to baselessly lie about the integrity of the US election system like Trump does, he will create actual fraudsters that way. Either that, or that...

Seems so. You didn't miss much.

Absolutely, it's still possible to do entirely new things even in movies, just saying it's much much harder work nowadays compared to 50 years earlier. And I'm just trying to explain why I don't think the sentiment "Hollywood has no ideas anymore" is fair towards the people working in Hollywood.

Yeah IIRC but I haven't been able to find that thread and I don't remember who it was. His argument was "historical highs" and disregarding the supply situation.

Good addition, the competitive business climate most certainly contributes and it is ultimately business risk management at play. However, the idea of Hollywood losing its creativity is something that at least has been around since the mid-90s [when I became old enough to note it]. In...

There are two key considerations (from my perspective as an ex-video game dev because the following also started applying to games): 1) Hollywood happily reuses brands because consumers are far more likely to buy into it than a new unknown title. Sad but true. Arguably the consumers are to...

It's kind of dark humor how IS-K has to fight to prove they did it: There's a full video of it apparently and it's graphic, I'm not going to bother with it obviously.

Depends on the frequency and liquidity. If you trade e.g. SPY on hourly bars then obviously you're not going to move the needle much with trade followers. That said the vast number of scammers out there do very much enjoy being trade leaders/signal providers/etc. in small cap names yeah.

Buffet might drop off the pin any day now. Plus he has a lot of problems (constrained by liquidity) that you don't have. I would say starting to follow him 2024 is utterly pointless to be honest, instead it might be better to follow his ideas (but it's generally pointed out that much of his...

Although I generally stay clear of trailers and I'm not watching the above video, I can say that I was fully expecting Fury Road to suck, but it turned out to be great, in a crazy sort of way like a lunatic's unrestrained fantasy. Surely the sequel curse will strike again though and ensure that...