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  1. eurusdzn

    Basic Stat Arb question

    With stocks the theory seems to be to neutralize market and sector risk by volatility matching the pair. Some other ratio may yield a better line for your signalling system to trade but you're not neutralizing market and sector . Large volatilities differences between legs of the pair applied to...
  2. eurusdzn

    need a winner fellas

    Playing small caps and emerging markets in a selloff ? This is such a novel concept . Simmons, Dalio and Bass are on the phone.
  3. eurusdzn

    need a winner fellas

    Simple, correctly time your put purchases on XIV (short volatility) and after the correction, correctly time buying calls on XIV. Start a threat " So easy a Cavema.........."
  4. eurusdzn

    Why did trend following work well in commodities in 1970s but lost effectiveness later?

    Commodities had a huge multi year move in the early to mid 2000's along with stocks in that space. 1) DXY 2) China 3) Goldman Sachs... And Jimmy Rogers Gold,oil,iron ore,nat gas, fertilizer, steel and some food related softs were in a bubble mania. Potash was the new gold. The human race was...
  5. eurusdzn

    for FX traders am I correct in thinking this

    I enjoyed readimg the journal of the forex trader named "FXintruder" . Motives and effects of different types of players were discussed . I think the journal title was."neither tech nor macro" By the way...he was very in tune with USD/JPY at 76. This was long ago and Hopefully he is sailing...
  6. eurusdzn

    Trading Janet Yellen Tomorrow

    How are the freeways coming out of the Hamptons tonight? Is the nanny taking little Stuart III back to school mid week. If so, the BSD's are back so things may be more lively.
  7. eurusdzn

    Why didn't the stock market crash on 26Aug16 after stronger case for interest rate hike?

    Borrow money and buy real estate. You 1st time home buyers can use Obama money in the form of an FHA loan and lever 33 to 1. The lender is your friend. They will assess about 10% below market value to withstand more variability than your 3% down can provide. I got family thats doing a half...
  8. eurusdzn

    Resistance and Supports are Too Close, what to do?

    CHASE BREAKOUTS. i do that for the better now. Many of us are initially pulled to small float crap , gamed to the hilt, with traps, fake outs, failures . Of course breakouts can reverse quickly but less price sensitive big money dont care about my shekel. Some may say it is better to sit on...
  9. eurusdzn

    defining "edge" with discretionary trading

    What of methods/algos that are profitable "in trend" and the discretion is market selection. One example(hindsight) would be to avoid trading the euro in favor of the yen for the last 6 months. Trend definition can be generally defined or loosely fit (not oberfit) and maybe combined with...
  10. eurusdzn

    defining "edge" with discretionary trading

    Sounds like you are still following price. Classic follow up question is what happens when your context and price diverge. You know the correct answer but can you do it. ( Brexit rocked many participants in this regard) . I have heard others say you can't trade your narrative because as an...
  11. eurusdzn

    defining "edge" with discretionary trading

    What is market context?
  12. eurusdzn

    Market News

    Fxstreet and Forexfactory
  13. eurusdzn

    Teach Me Your Profitable Trading-Style and You Will Get 25.000 EURO

    To be a multi million in several years he will cap his compensation at 25k. Actually, this is brilliant and gutsy and he should be complimented. There is absolutely no harm in asking and offering a low price. Well done!
  14. eurusdzn

    What is fueling the S&P's growth?

    When notes and bonds on the fed balance sheet mature, the fed balance sheet should shrink and bank reserves drop. This is the temporary money effect. I dont think the fed is allowing this to happen. Instead the fed creates the same credit again and buys a new note or bond again. This in effect...
  15. eurusdzn

    Are there any moving average systems that don't involve picking a time period?

    I can only think of price events or news catalyst events as a starting/changing point to track price, possibly with an ma. Will you be shedding any further light on this short post?
  16. eurusdzn

    REITS - what's the outlook ?

    I hear a lot of the West coast of US and Canada regarding Chinese buyers. When do you think this wll begin on the East Coast? Maybe its the miserable weather. If proximity is the issue then its doubtful we could get a bump from the UK or Europe.
  17. eurusdzn

    Full-time Trading Advice for a 22 Year Old

    "Because he, most and I can't do it . But, most , and I , know that a few can. He doesn't." Did Yogi Bera say that?
  18. eurusdzn

    Aaron Brown interview

    Hate to admit this dummy bought the book..Thanks for posting.
  19. eurusdzn

    Europe And European banks-when are they taking the US down ?

    Can anything be allowed to fail anymore? Why would The German Bank be allowed to fail? Insolvency can be delayed by an unlimited supply of credit and capital from atypical sources. That's how I see it.
  20. eurusdzn

    Shorting Bonds - Question

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui This is a short bond/long bond spread position. Supposed to be same duration in both tripple etf's. i would not expect quite a drift as there is ober the last couple years. Why is that?
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