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  1. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    While no one think Fed will raise rate tomorrow, does anyone here expect that Fed might change their tone, even a little bit ?
  2. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    Puts below 1.4 are so cheap that they are not worth selling. I would rather sell put spead then short those puts. The reason I closed out my naked puts was because I completely forgot about the news regardng Greece/Spain/Ireland when I initiated those trades.
  3. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    Market has been discounting the news as they come, but no more. Nobody knows for sure how market is going to react if Greece actually goes bankruptcy. The thing with bad news is that when you think one piece of bad news has been discounted, another one follows. We don't have control over any of...
  4. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    That is very good point ! If this past year taught me anything, it is that anything bad that can happen will happen and always happen at the moment when I expected the least. I guess I was too wrapped up in my little trade to see the big picture. I just closed out my position, in at 161...
  5. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    What kind of extreme move do you have in mind after EUR has already dropped 500 points from recent high ? another 500 points drop ?
  6. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    I expect EUR fut to drop below 1.46 to around 1.4588, I enter a GTC sell order at 161 on Jan 1.46 put.
  7. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    The GTC Buy order was hit early this morning at 3:28:39 EST. 0.0104 GLOBEX(USD) 03:28:39 EST on Fri, 11 Dec 2009. Position closed with a tiny gain.
  8. R

    Options Strategy Drawbacks?

    At the time you are assigned, the calls you try to sell will look so cheap that you might change your mind about selling them. Also remember the reason you sell puts is because you are somewhat bullish on them to begin with. So what you just described is one of those trades that sound fine...
  9. R

    Options Strategy Drawbacks?

    Yours is a short vega, negative theta strategy. On Dec 28, which is 20 days from Dec 8, if nothing else changes, your trade will incur a loss of $16288.25 just from the time decay itself. If IV jumps suddently tomorrow, you will incur more loss. See attached graph
  10. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    When Good luck is needed, it is the time to close out. I just placed GTC buy order at 0.0103, which means anytime from now on, if EUR March futures ever reaches 1.4780, my position will be closed. ( it is trading at 1.4738 at this moment ) I originally planned to hold the position for...
  11. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    Not that dramatic, I plan to hold for a couple of weeks :)
  12. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    I used IB. Their GTC order for futures options works well, also the comm. is acceptable.
  13. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    Let's see if it touches 1.46 tommorrow.
  14. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    The premium is actually 0.0120, translates into 0.0120 * 125000 USD or 120 * 12.5 USD, that is 1500 USD
  15. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    Yes, 25 pips too early :-} I expected EUR to drop between 1.46 and 1.47 before reversing above 1.48 near term. I could be in for a big surprise. Let's see.
  16. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    Thanks for correcting this.
  17. R

    Want to bet Euro won't drop below 1.48 within next few days ?

    Sold some 1.46 Jan puts at 120 today, let's see if EUR will drop through 1.45, that is a 5% drop from the recent high.
  18. R

    New option symbols

    Probably not that important from a trader's prospective. I have not paid attention to option symbol for more than ten years, at least.
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