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based on the iV, 196 seems like a possible target for it to reach.

When you're looking at the chart, any time its been bought sub $15...and just held for 5-6 years, it seems like you'd just double your money.... which is pretty good considering its about 20% a year.. anyone ever do this?

i dont have access to those.

what do you guys think of this explanation of put call parity

ok thanks for the information though.

im just asking if you guys have noticed that as well. ive noticed it and have been trading like that.

well that well that certainly helps in terms of trading..have you noticed, that on the short term if a stock crosses what is expected to be 2std, theres a rebound there?

Oh okay, because I thought you were suggesting you could predict direction and wanted to learn what you were looking at, if you were willing to offer it up. I guess looking at it, the 193.50 wasn't really out of the question for a move. Based off how I charted the IV levels, at 2pm, it just...

so did you make money on that expected size of a move? Are you saying it was expected to happen in the last hour?

also look at my last 1 hour of trading....been doing this every friday for the last month. pretty big roller coaster..

ok so another question, ultimately you have to be right in the direction. So how does understanding parity play into this and benefit in profitability? also https://www.tradingview.com/x/aeZhg4u3/ this today made me laugh....this run from 191 to 193....its like...someone is intentionally...

yeah the short put was ditm, but that was offset by the short stock? and the put would still continue to decay in price until it only had intrinsic value left and if at expiration, it would just cover my short shares for the spread?

if spy closes at 198, and the 198 straddle is 10.00 how does that show a $1 dividend? is thar being taken off of the call price?

yeah i already closed it for 434 profit. but that was offset by the -400 loss in calls and the closing of the 197.50 put to a 197 put. all in all, wouldve been profitable, if i hadnt bought the calls. I guess the reason to short shares instead of longing a put is to not deal with the theta decay.

Hey so would the risk/reward chart look like this?

i also have secondary spreads that will go live in the event that it does an extended advance. but nothing more than that. itll double my loss, but the moves like that are stastically unlikely.

well ive had the same 13k well, ive had the same amount + maybe 10% from when i started , 8 years ago,and have done at least 100+ trades lol...of options. more with stock. i tend to make many profitable trades and then arrogance leads me to blow out those gains. so my strategy now is more...

not profitable this year at all. started trading options about a year ago and only recently formed a strategy. Once i formed a strategy in jan, every month has been positive while following the system, but its making up for the losses from no strat. was profitable trading stocks throughout the...

will definitely look into this book. thanks for your help. really appreciate it. so how profitable have you been and has this author been?

Okay, so what im getting is that your telling me that these are essentially the same trade in terms of risk/reward. is this also assuming that for ex: a call will increase at the same price a put will decrease by? If thats the case, arent options priced imperfectly, so the above assumption is...