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  1. S

    On 10-case geometry and beyond

    Reset Decided to find an easier period to get started with. Volume Traverses Tapes Traverses seems confirmed by volume and tapes (to some degree). Period range: October, November, December bars
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    No , I am not Taleb

    It's a process of Talebanization rendering the poor victims Tabelized.
  3. S

    No , I am not Taleb

    May I have your attention please? May I have your attention please? Will the real Nicholas Taleb please stand up? I repeat, will the real Nicholas Taleb please stand up? We're gonna have a problem here. 'Cause I'm Nicholas Taleb, yes I'm the real Nassim Taleb All you other Talebs R just...
  4. S

    On 10-case geometry and beyond

    Starting up here, though not sure how to reconcile ABC-turns with P1 and P2's when volume doesn't follow DOM PA 100%. Using a new color scheme that I believe is easier to read bar-for-bar, based on other color schemes and ideas already presented earlier in the thread and some trial and error...
  5. S

    On 10-case geometry and beyond

    When in doubt, also single bars may provide some additional clues to context. Here's a simple update to earlier attachment:
  6. S

    On 10-case geometry and beyond

    2-bar combinations are miniatyre representations of multiple bar representations. I've updated an illustration provided by @Sprout earlier in these threads in order to expand my understanding and path to integration. This is also an idealized version of events with an attempt to bridge fractals...
  7. S

    On 10-case geometry and beyond

    I've concluded some work that needed done, and will be continuing working on the 10-case geometry and beyond in order to assist my own understanding, integration and needs for discovery. The 10 cases may be summarized like this (feel free to provide corrections/additions/debriefs): Some...
  8. S

    How 1-Minute Candlestick Patterns Alleviated My Trading PTSD

    Backtests at 99% win probability now and forever! Holy cow, thanks man! The trick was reversing case and fixing the intentional typos.
  9. S

    Physics Vs Prediction in Trading

    I skimmed your explanation of graphs and buy/sell signals. Trial and error is indeed your way approaching the problem of trading. There exists countless other methods too. On the surface it does seem like a valid approach though I'm not sure how to estimate expectancy of your method. Though it...
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    Physics Vs Prediction in Trading

    Most of us remember lots of spam-threads with lots of superficial fluff and annoying copy-paste :D But there are some content in the discussion above, especially the occasionally rare cases of people embracing the paradoxes. When people start repeating themselves over and over again, now...
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    deploying new capital... in stages or all at once?

    They are definately different in the same timeframe. Backtesting them in some way, may yield vastly different results as well, or not. That you believe they are the same/very similar is just an unproven assumption of mind. Such assumptions can block progress because you keep beliefs not based...
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    deploying new capital... in stages or all at once?

    First of all: 50 dma is not 200 dma, unless you're talking different timeframes where those periods line up perfectly, and even then, it's not exactly that. That's a start on the technical journey. A very tiny babystep though.
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    Physics Vs Prediction in Trading

    Completely agree 100%. If what you mean by prediction is how far and how long and how volatile and.. and.. and (how many dimensions can you pack into this baby!), in advance, yes, that's a path to failure. So you really want to minimize prediction, but.. At the same time, the exact same...
  14. S

    Physics Vs Prediction in Trading

    You are correct, it's hard to gauge beforehand, counterproductive even, what to expect from markets. Trading is very much reacting to everchanging present conditions. However, you still need to correctly predict something in order to have the probabilities on your side (being on the right side...
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    Physics Vs Prediction in Trading

    Yes, because wave movements from observation are predictable. You "catch a wave", based on assumptions about it's future probabilities and wanting to "get in on that action". That is prediction, based on observation in the now and previous experience. If the waves were completely unpredictable...
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    Physics Vs Prediction in Trading

    "Wave" implies prediction about what's about to happen next. If price was completely random, it could be anything at any moment, ie. random between 1 and 100. If that was consistently so, you could arbitrage that away very quickly, thus trends must form in an efficient market.
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    Physics Vs Prediction in Trading

    What matters is how little can you lose if your predictions are wrong vs how much can you gain if you gain a position and are able to hold on to it. If your losses pyramids, you're sure to lose it all sooner or later. It's a matter of definition, but there is some prediction in an edge, but in...
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    Ubuntu Linux or Windows 10?

    I play modern games on Linux all the time, using Steam, but there are also other ways. Firefox/Chrome supports DRM (ugh) for Netflix etc. You may need to install graphics drivers manually though, to get the proper drivers for your GPU. Otherwise, most works but need some more initial tweaking...
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    Ubuntu Linux or Windows 10?

    Try Linux Mint.
  20. S

    I always seem to sell too early.

    You might consider that what you're doing is the exact opposite of what you should be doing, if you're consistently losing money. Find out why that's happening. There's often a logic to the flaw, thus fixable depending on you alone. A totally broken trade plan is unfixable though, you need to...
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