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  1. J

    Is it possible to make >=20% expected geometric mean returns per year with options? Why?

    May I guess what you mean? I guess you are talking "I have a cash saving of hard-working 10K, now how can I satisfy my asset is 12K after one year of struggle in asset market?" My personal answer is "The 2K difference is too much big. If you keep the compounding of annual 20%, then you take...
  2. J

    Is it possible to make >=20% expected geometric mean returns per year with options? Why?

    Are you saying that he made 12% FOR JUST ONE YEAR? For the annual 12% compounded, one should show 1.12^40 = 93.05097 times for his entire life of 40 years. Of course for the 20%, 1.2^40 = 1469.772 is roughly 1500 time. PS) If someone living next door has 1M, then he shows 100 times (annually...
  3. J

    Is it possible to make >=20% expected geometric mean returns per year with options? Why?

    Of course, your opinion is true for rich man with 1 Trillion and I am sure you are not. Most person (most ETers) usually begin with a seed of personal cash saving of 10K to 1000K. Also he have roughly 40 years of investing over life. Let us talk about our average cases, not Gates and...
  4. J

    Is it possible to make >=20% expected geometric mean returns per year with options? Why?

    I have objection to your opinion "As your capital keeps increasing, then your expected returns diminish". Please note that if you buy national bond as much as 1K or 100K, then one shall SAME ANNUAL RATE. NEVER see small amount of 1K to make better profit rate.
  5. J

    Is it possible to make >=20% expected geometric mean returns per year with options? Why?

    Its does NOT matter it is options or others. Note that modern capitalism was held roughly 400 years after opening stock market in Netherland. If there is one person (one trading logic, starting with average wealth) who kept annual compounded 20% over THE 400 years, then he (and his sons with...
  6. J

    Can day trading become an addiction since it is so similar to gambling?

    Compared to casino games like poker and BlackJack, addiction in housing bubble and trading in stock and derivative helps to country. For example, housing speculation helps lots of construction workers and option traders helps corn/petroleum workers in trading liquidity. Of course, equity...
  7. J

    Why is market data so expensive?

    If one pay $10 per month, it is $120 for a year and 6K principle for 50 years, from 30 to 80. With compounding, probably more than 10K of worth of a car. Therefore, I can personally have objection of Rmorse's. I won't start any business if some ask me 10K extra.
  8. J

    Technical Analysis does not work, never did, never will

    Although you can speak freely "Technical Analysis does not work, never did, never will" I am sure there is some who makes profit with technical analysis. However, most shows relatively low profit rate (at most 10%~20% compounded in the long run) If one show about annual 20% compounded, such as...
  9. J

    [IB Beginner] To make a alarm when my entry signal is met?

    Dear- As a beginner, I wonder if one can setup IB so that some designated sound is ringed as soon as some entry criteria is met. For example, A) When DJI is down 2% during the day, hope to hear a sound "DowJones is down 2%" B) When MSFT is down 3%, tell me "MSFT is in entry situation"...
  10. J

    2015 Pictures of Your Trading Stations

    It looks nice. But the cost for the monitors does NOT reward back to you, I believe. 10 pieces of monitors costs roughly 10*300=3K in additions to VGA monitors with multiple output roughly 1K. As much as 4K with extra electricity comsumption can be done with two or three monitors, in my past...
  11. J

    Are you a renter? It won’t get better any time soon

    If the above red-colored statement is true, and if overall income in SF area is increasing 14%, then you should pay 14% more. If not, you should move out thee to find appropriate place. It probably means many are vacant in SF area, if overall SF income is NOT 14% increased. Also I heard that...
  12. J

    Are you a renter? It won’t get better any time soon

    Welcome to argue the above red-colored statement. For example, if all NY rental property asks 2K a month (although it is legal obviously in free country), then many will move out of NY or to another country. There us NO landlord who keep vacant rental property for many years. He should be...
  13. J

    Are you a renter? It won’t get better any time soon

    Although the above might be true in small area in NYC, not all places has same situation. I heard that in capital country over 400 years (modern capitalism after stock market appearance), historical rent ratio of income was roughly 22%. For example if you bring 6K to home, then appropriate...
  14. J

    [Simple Question in IB] where to download all the dividend record?

    Dear- As shown below, I could download all the trading record for a year, as a csv file format which I can easily manage myself in other software. Now, if I like to download dividend record for ONE year, where is the link? Appreciated if you can direct me menu.
  15. J

    Are you a renter? It won’t get better any time soon

    In the above link, it is OK to pay 50% of income to residence expense, since it is free country. However, I heard that OECD countries has long-term average of 22% (=rent/income). Therefore to maintain a good life, one should pay at least 20% but no more than 25%. If they SHOULD pay 50%...
  16. J

    Is Annual 15% Riskless Return Possible?

    Let me ask you one. Top ten wealthy persons, like Buffet/Gates, has how much portion he has now? For example 10% or 5 %?
  17. J

    Is Annual 15% Riskless Return Possible?

    For example, let us suppose 50 years of investment (from 30 to 80) and compare annual 10% and 20%. A) With seed of 10K and anuual 10%, he should make 10*1.1^50 = 1173.909 = 1200K = 12M B) With 10K and anuual 10%, he should have 10*1.2^50 =91004.38 = 91000K=910M Therefore B) has roughly 90...
  18. J

    Is Annual 15% Riskless Return Possible?

    I mean that 50% CapGainTax implies roughly 30% of 1040 and 20% of commission. To make return rate (after expense) annual 15%, one should show annual compounded 30%, with 50% of CapGainTax rate.
  19. J

    Is Annual 15% Riskless Return Possible?

    Suppose OP play home poker (NO RAKE AT ALL) with 1000 persons, with equal seed of 10K. If you show best record (consistent for 40 years) so that all other 999 players bust for 40 years, then you have annual compounded 15% return. CAN YOU DO THAT? *****************************************...
  20. J

    Is Annual 15% Riskless Return Possible?

    Furthermore, if Buffet's claim for compounded 20% for 45 years is true, then 1.2^45 = 3657.262 =4000 times might be the best attainable.
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