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As soon as smurf goes long ES then you have a good reason to go short. :D

Basically you can keep writing this every day for the next 6 months and I am sure eventualy you will be right and claim your wonderful imaginary profits while ignoring being wrong for all those other times....

You know if you buy a $55 put and the stock is at $55.01 at expiration you lose money. Hmm that does not seem far away from the strike....

Seems like No Plan or Brains, No Reward

This is like the n-th thread that has popped up on VIX futures with the same questions. First of all, a search of ET threads would point you to previously discussed threads where people know what they are talking about explain the VIX futures. Second, there is a ton of informtion on VIX...

SMRF is up another day as the ETF continues to fade Smurf's imaginary calls. I might add mroe SMRF on the next dip.

With SPX at 1356 it could easily bleed down below 1320 without VIX ever even breaking 20 let alone 24 so your hedge could have no effect whatsoever. Also, all of that for a net potential profit of less than $3k. You would be better off just buying long puts for a directional bet than wasting...

This is one of those rare opportunities to actually identify the easy money on the other side of some of my option trades.

Short gold and short oil, both up strongly. Man you are the best fade trade. I am going long 500 shares of SMRF. That is the ETF that tracks 2x the inverse of all your calls. Should be a lock!

You buy 100 shares of AAPL at $351 and then AAPL drops to $340. In your mind stocks only go in one direction so if it hits $351, you buy the stock and ride it as it runs to $360. Imagine you buy it at $351 and it drops to $349. You sell for $2.00 loss and short the stock at $349. Stock...

His point was that with VIX/volatility low and an expectation of a big move or even increase in volatility then it is a good time, in his opinion to BUY premium/volatility and look for such a move. Your question as to why do that as opposed to your Iron Condor strategy which basically is...

Even worse, people do not realize that if VIX moves higher in a few days but the VIX futures expire in 30 days, the traders are looking at future value of VIX at expiration (it is a future after all) and I have seen the expectation of a move back lower in VIX after the initial spike which has...

VIX calls trade off of VIX futures, NOT the spot VIX. The market could drop sharply with VIX hitting 25 and your VIX 40 Call will not budge at all if the futures show no indication of pushing that high. So basically you will still lose money on your credit spread and your hedge will also lose...

No broker has a delay unless you are looking at a paper trading platform perhaps. If you open an account all of the brokers will give you real time quotes.

There is this confusing thing when it comes to Iron positions and when one uses the word long or short. For example, if you sell the straddle and buy the strangle, some call that a Long Iron Butterfly whereas I have seen other people focus on the short straddle as the main part and state they...

Falcon, none of the brokers have delayed quotes when you open an account so ToS nor OptionsXpress have a delay when trading.

1. Since 2001, every year you can pretty say that geo political events, conflicts or terrorist attacks could hurt the market. 2. Your second paragraph says the market could go up or the market could go down. Seriously, just stick to calling your scalps up and down and stop patting...

I think the key word there is logical in the definition. There is no certainty in trading but we try to increase our probability of success by relying on as much rational or logical criteria in making trades.

You said your mistake before was getting greedy and ramping up position size, to a whopping 3 contracts. You just added your third contract here to this position, going in as HUGE as you did the last position. To paraphrase a famous quote, stupidity is doing the same thing over and over...

It is just too easy to hit reset on the simulated account and start again.