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  1. Real Money

    This coronavirus volatility has got me thinking...

    The truth is that automated trading algo's are trading differentials of asset prices (spreads). These algo's are using simple convergence/divergence and trend prediction models for much of this. Farmerjohn, you can trade the difference of asset prices using technicals. Momentum, vol, levels...
  2. Real Money

    This coronavirus volatility has got me thinking...

    Any trader worth a damn knows very well that technicals matter.
  3. Real Money

    The Hedge Fund Bailout Worked: Citadel, Millennium And Point72 Recover Most Of Their March Losses

    The thing is that the trading in the basis spread is what is moving the market. Retail traders trading the chart patterns (price action) are largely uninformed about the trading happening in the basis spread.
  4. Real Money

    For most CV is just another flu but...

    Yea. I always liked the idea of Spain. This virus really is a bummer in a lot of ways. Hard to say how things will change in the EU.
  5. Real Money

    For most CV is just another flu but...

    A better timezone. A better timezone for trading the NY open.
  6. Real Money

    For most CV is just another flu but...

    There is going to be a total collapse in health services if this gets out of control. The baby boomers were already putting stress on the medical system due to their generational cohort advancing in age (a big fat cash cow for insurers and the medical billing racket). Now, the most successful...
  7. Real Money

    Virus .....read this

    Just a rant by a cynical trader who doesn't care about this thing one way or another. Quote: In one version of the rumor, the virus was engineered in the lab by humans as a bioweapon. In another version, the virus was being studied in the lab (after being isolated from animals) and then...
  8. Real Money

    Traders That Beat The System.

    All you would need is a real edge, as in a significant advantage over other market participants that has the potential to yield far, far out sized returns. This is hard, but not impossible. There are two kinds of edge. Explicit - information, technology, infrastructure, industry knowledge...
  9. Real Money

    This is the end. We are witnessing collapse of the global economy

    This is just the beginning. GDP will contract. Covid-19 will reshape the global economy significantly. The resorts, travel, and leisure business are going to have to find a new normal. I suspect this means significantly reduced expectations, some winners (Blackstone?) and a few big losers...
  10. Real Money

    Coronavirus outbreak: Trump considers reopening U.S. economy despite COVID-19 spread

    It's funny how you guys wanna believe that C19 is nothing. Virus deniers. Covid is gonna shut down the economy, one way or another. The viability of the US economy is predicated on tax advantaged profiteering. Corps can realize larger margins through global labor arbitrage and monopoly...
  11. Real Money

    The Bull Market is back!

    Apparently, this retard dozu (calls spy 400, dow 40000, and AAPL 1000) has never heard of a crowded trade.
  12. Real Money

    No One Is Talking About This Yet.... PBGC

    People think the market is just gonna turn right back up and everything will be even better. There's gonna be a solvency crisis.
  13. Real Money

    The cure is worse than the disease

    I didn't mean to like your comment. I'm just gonna quote and link a related news item. It's stories like this that are motivating drastic measures be taken... A day later, Thursday, another brother died, leaving the shocked New Jersey family mourning the loss of a mother and two brothers...
  14. Real Money

    The cure is worse than the disease

    That's not even remotely what I said. In fact, I didn't even pick a side on this issue. I don't really care what happens. But, the issue is very serious, and more than a little complex. I think @Same Lazy Element is right. The policy solution will strain an already tenuous relationship...
  15. Real Money

    The cure is worse than the disease

    This is really what it comes down to. Not that I agree that it should be reduced to this, but it is right out in the open. The new generation looks at wealth with envy, and let's be honest, resentment. There is the idea that boomers and gen-X had it easier, and enjoyed a 'golden age' of...
  16. Real Money

    So how deep the recession will be?

    I'm also interested in this. Checked the book and the spreads are ugly. But, TQQQ could make you a nice return long term, given a bull market.
  17. Real Money

    If this is Armageddon why are Chinese stocks only 12% off this year's highs?

    Plausible deniability. This is some geopolitical endgame type shit bro. As for the OP. The Russell 2000 is down 40.62% in 4 weeks time. That's the US smallcap index. The small caps sell off going into a recession.
  18. Real Money

    Is trading harder under current volatility or normal market conditions?

    Liquidity has completely collapsed. Hedging instruments are not liquid. Institutions are being forced to deleverage. This is a really big problem for all market participants. I'm starting to worry that it's never coming back.
  19. Real Money

    Total Lockdown NYC

    100% of Non-Essential NY Work Force Must Stay Home; Cuomo Puts State on ‘Pause’ New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said the state needs to acquire thousands of ventilators to help the critically ill breathe before the outbreak overwhelms hospitals and there are simply none left "Non-compliance may...
  20. Real Money

    Do you want to know the real reason the market is going down?

    This is a blood bath. Stocks are getting gutted. (Reasons: -GDP, credit crunch, deflation risks)
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