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    Bitcoin Price Thread

    These are just Black Friday discounts! You can buy bitcoin at 40% discount! Get it while it's hot!
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    What risk management mistake did optionsellers.com fund manager do to blow up his fund and clients?

    In this business, you can either eat well or sleep well. You pick :)
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    Legendary oil trader forced to shutter hedge fund amid low prices

    Pretty much every big guy that switched his fund to a family office said more or less exactly that. It's pretty much always the issue of biting off more than they could chew. It's hard to make money at the scale all of these guys gotten to. Personally, I think a single strategy fund should...
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    Question about Vega & VIX futures

    LOL :) Even disregarding the technical details (i.e. convexity adjustment, strike inclusion etc, read Kevin's post), the option strip would include the period leading to VIX expiration, while VIX futures is from futures expiration to options expiration. So you would have a bunch of gamma/theta...
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    Legendary oil trader forced to shutter hedge fund amid low prices

    Luck plays a tremendous role in any success
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    Question about Vega & VIX futures

    Let's take a simpler case of Dec VIX and Jan expiration, then :)
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    Question about Vega & VIX futures

    Well, for starters, if you where to do that trade, what ratio would you do it at?
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    Question about Vega & VIX futures

    It's not freebie, if that's what you are asking :) Imagine that you buy a Dec VIX futures and go short a strip today - what do you think your exposures would be?
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    Question about Vega & VIX futures

    And yet if you calculate the value of the strip for that expiration right now it will be very very different from your futures price.
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    Optionsellers.com goes bust and the apology video is painful to watch

    How exactly would that work, in your opinion? If they bought the vol to hedge and the event happened, they indeed have no loss (or a smaller one), but if no event happened they would be out premium. The only way for the broker/clearer to protect themselves was to limit the size in these types of...
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    Refinements for Retail Traders

    Small size allows for playing various capacity constrained opportunities. It also allows for more cross-sectional diversification and more importantly for more choices. E.g. if you are playing some single-stock specific effect (let's for simplicity say mergers), and you need to deploy a million...
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    Building your own program to live trade with IB?

    I was under impression that they support a proper FIX protocol with some IB-specific quirks, no?
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    Unemployed people kill themselves at around two-and-a-half times the rate of those in work

    Why, you think a lot of murders get counted as suicide or some other issue? Oh, and what exactly do you see wrong with the BLS (not the Fed, FYI) unemployment report?
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    Where are the bodies?

    Apparently, yes. Which reminds me that @destriero probably owes me a dinner (as Collins has gotten re-elected and is probably getting off scat-free).
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    Unemployed people kill themselves at around two-and-a-half times the rate of those in work

    Suicide rates are rising in the US, actually, unlike the rest of the world. I recall reading a couple interesting studies. One showed that suicide rates fall as the personal incomes rise, so apparently money does buy some happiness. The other one, sadly, demonstrate that suicide rates were...
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    Automated trading strategies

    Not exactly surprising figures considering that every HF market-maker is an "automated strategy" and thus, even if every longer-term trader was discretionary, it would right compose 50 percent of the volume. If you exclude all intra-day strategies (i.e. HFT, execution algos etc), these figures...
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    Where are the bodies?

    Inside information is not illegal, trading on it is, right? ;)
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    Where are the bodies?

    One of the first things you learn in this business is that there is way more there than is published on Bloomberg :) my information comes form one of the PMs from the fund
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    The hell is wrong with the market?

    Don't eat too much and don't drink too little!
  20. S

    Where are the bodies?

    I assume you are talking about the Prediction Company? From what I heard first-hand, it had little to do with performance, but I can't disclose the exact story unfortunately.
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