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Inverted Yield curve, it usually predicts recession coming in 6+ months. LOL:D :D :D :p :D :D :D

Well, 1/4 of people participating in the poll admit to losing money.

NAKED ECONOMICS :D :D :D

No, the reason why I started this was basically only for psychological reasons. Psychology study that is. Maybe, the poll is wrong by design b/c I cannot prove how much the individual is making. But, it is solely for psychological reason. Although I still want to see how retail traders think...

Maybe my calculations were wrong. I used Oanda to calculate it. based on 26,666 a trade, the result would be $2 a pip. Maybe the leverage was less. Have to re-do the calculation.

What system are you using??? PS I have not seen the forex yet.....

What I mean is how much a person on ET makes a day...regardless if s/he is retail trader, professional, or trades for a prop firm. Also I am curious how much a person bags in on % basis. Not as much as how much. Although, my poll off-sets it. Hmmm...wierd.

:eek: I see.

Well, when I was reading CRB commodity year book about 8 month ago this is what they put in there...of course I am using my words. As commodities are trading in USD, they are influenced by the price. If, the dollar declines....same as it happened throughout last 2+ years the price of...

Just a question..... How did you get WR in the equition? K = W - (1 - W) / R = K=W-((R^-1)-(WR^-1)) Is isn't it how it supposed to be if you break it down? Or is my calculations wrong?

Well, I decided to find out by having this thread how much traders think they can make on daily bases. My thought. If you are day-trading equities. I suppose it is quite possible to make 1% a day. So, if you start of with 25,000. It is around 250 profit a day. For forex, I suppose it s...

I suppose. 1405

I think Kellys formula is this.... K = W - (1-W)/R Where: K = Fraction of Capital for Next Trade W = Historical Win Ratio (Wins/Total Trials) R = Winning Payoff Rate Ex: For example, say a coin pays 2:1 with 50-50 chance of heads or tails. Then ... K = .5 - (1 - .5)/2 = .5 - .25 =...

A mike like a Name???? To be on contrary it is Mic. Short for microphone. Chill pill? What exactly is it.. Please be specific.

Eur/Usd on Oanda is 1.5 spread when the markets are the most liquid and 2.0 when not.

No...I actually find this interesting. I am reading up on Kelly's formula in the Fortunes Formula...book that is. I didn't;t get to the part about the formula yet, so I can't really argue. But I believe that this is interesting. :cool: :cool: :cool: Just curious. How did you derive this...

I am going out on a limb here but in my eyes it is population control. Do not look at me inhumane becouse I have a best friend in Iraq. Yeah....its not so wonderful down there.

Friedman is not dead.......lmao...He is my math proffesor...no really thats his name...lol

Ken, Good job, disrespecting a great man. Are you nuts, Don is one of the best minds in trading.....you'll be lucky to have the knowledge which Don posseses. Well, good luck wih your trading.

That is interesting b/c Euro come out as accounting currency only in 1999 and a physical currency came out in 2002. Hmmm....very interesting.