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  1. J

    Bear thesis looks fkd for tomorrow

    No one knows. :p You should have shorted NQ.
  2. J

    Bear thesis looks fkd for tomorrow

    NQ future gapped down 200 pts.
  3. J

    Why does it always rain on me?

    What I am saying is that most novice traders blindly seek a high win rate, which make them feel good psychologically. However, by narrowly focusing on this effort the trader loses other more important metrics, such as R/R ratio, etc. In no way am I against measuring the win rate. It’s a useful...
  4. J

    Bear thesis looks fkd for tomorrow

    In this volatile and unpredictable market I’d only day trade.
  5. J

    Bear thesis looks fkd for tomorrow

    Feels like futures are going up.
  6. J

    Traders Common Mistake

    I am all for letting the emotions out from time to time. Otherwise, it will gush out like an avalanche at the most inconvenient moment. :sneaky:
  7. J

    Burry SP500 going to 1800? WTF?

    The problem is not Fed doesn’t come to the rescue, but it has much less effective tools now at its disposal with inflation running high.
  8. J

    Traders Common Mistake

    The major trading mistakes I personally have experienced: 1. Overtrading 2. Double down on bad trades trying to make it back 3. Not taking losses on wrong trades 4. Revenge trading 5. Use big sizes/positions Unfortunately, I have done them all and many times over. Often you realize your...
  9. J

    Why does it always rain on me?

    Psychologically, most traders can’t endure 70-80% rate of losing trades. It’s simply human nature. Algo trading may be different since no human emotions are involved.
  10. J

    Why does it always rain on me?

    Most days it’s a mean reversion pattern, meaning no significant trends. You can trade using the scalping method to take quick profits or losses. This is more of practice/training than making significant gains., until you become very good at it. In rare occasions (about 10% time) a real trend...
  11. J

    Scalping is Risky?

    In a volatile market like nowadays it’s hard to predict any longer timeframe movements than intraday, so scalping is actually safer.
  12. J

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    In the book “Trading in the zone”, the author writes the new trader often has the correct mindset, i.e., seeing and doing the obvious. However, with more trading experience the trader loses the natural ability. I think if you finally achieve the state of trading in the zone you’ll regain that...
  13. J

    Scalping is Risky?

    What chart? You can see the QQQ intraday chart yourself. I guess the key is you get the trend right. Another key is if you get it wrong get out quickly. Also, if it’s not real time call showing chart afterwards means nothing.
  14. J

    Scalping is Risky?

    Very simple. If you determine an uptrend try to find a good time to buy low and then sell high, vice versa for a downtrend. Grab a decent profit and out. Don’t stay in too long due to the volatility and unpredictability. For example, today QQQ was in a zigzag pattern. You can do this on the up...
  15. J

    Scalping is Risky?

    I used trend-based scalping. Today is actually a good day for scalping. Ken, I think you were trading the wrong stuff, e.g., UVXY.
  16. J

    Can't believe the market lost +4% today!

    I am both. Big money in spy and another day trading account. Guess I am just not good enough to take advantage of the volatility. ;)
  17. J

    Can't believe the market lost +4% today!

    Market is too volatile these days. I only do day trading to eliminate overnight risk.
  18. J

    Can't believe the market lost +4% today!

    The point is don’t justify or judge the market. It’s always right. That’s the first lesson I learned from Jack Schwager’s “Market Wizards” books. So why the never ending arguments here? Oh, it also says shoot (trade) first and ask questions later.
  19. J

    Can't believe the market lost +4% today!

    Of course don’t blindly press the button. Got to look at the trend first and secondly pick a good timing, which is critical too. Still it’s always easy said than done. :cool:
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