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Dang, wish I had followed up on this thread and the need to cover/reduce leverage before today! Ouch.

Whatever I do will be the wrong thing. I'm scared to death this is the end of the looong bull market. So given that signal at worse we'll probably be only down a few percent for the next few months, maybe even back up significantly. But I just got them bad feelings in my bones.

Yea, S2007S, I saw that: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-meltup-is-over-morgan-stanley-2018-03-19 What always pisses me off is that when the market plunges then they release some article about how something was a bad sign before the crash. Here, it was gross leverage...

Visaria, if I ever say anything to the contrary: please remind me to never, EVER bet against your market calls. :) How much downside do you see?! Scary.

haha Lee, i fooled you too! i was referring to s&p options. buying then when vix is low, selling when high, trying to remain as netral as possible over time.

Sorry, i wasnt clear. I was talking about buying and selling options on the s&p500, as this is what the VIX is tied to.

By the way, for you experienced option guys, do yall know a pretty high correlation between VIX prices and options on individual stocks, as opposed to the S&P? Thanks.

Wouldnt the obvious strategy be the buy options, probably super long term ones, when VIX is low, and sell them when VIX is high? Anyone know of any studies on this? Thanks.

The second one is it CME Observer. Thanks everyone!

bump so I can study this. Does the -5.5% DD means that is the most it ever went negative?

This post, this is interesting. Can you explain a bit more? Thanks.

I get that, that's why I'm wondering about the strategy this fund was taking. You clearly SHOULDN'T be able to do it, that's why I'm wondering. Thanks.

why? trading has no potential?

Sorry, futures on indexes i would say.

Uhhhh, this is a real internet forum, and I am a real person, and I did type that post out, so I would guess its real. What is your problem with it? I would love a critique!

So with this mini-crash, or whatever you want to call it, in early February, just reading the various threads on ET I noticed that there were SO MANY bears at the end of it. Some bulls, but mainly bears. Not just commenting on it, but actually placing bets to the short side. What did the...

I realize that, but I have to start SOMEWHERE, no?

Stocks or futures on stocks I would say. Thanks.

Any good youtube videos anyone can recommend, either just to help me learn trading generally, or even better if they talk about strategies that have worked for you? Thanks!

Naw, not from one of my threads, someone posted about its performance. This sounds interesting. If you can essentially go long volatility for free, you could make a freaking killing on the next downturn. Like, use that strategy until VIX hits like 35 or 40, then go short volatility about half...