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  1. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    out 10 zt on target, 2 rolex gain. make up all the es loss and then some.
  2. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    2 10 inversion is also the longest on record.
  3. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    maybe, i have not put on lot of leverage since october last year, merely 2 lots and 2 additional lots, vs 5-20 in the previous cycle. and have no plan to be bullish. rsp spy and 2-10 spreads are real.
  4. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    closed out es short, back to first half pnl. as long as the casino is open, sure one would bet.
  5. mervyn

    Tesla 2024

    it is too big a stock to meme
  6. mervyn

    Tesla 2024

    forget to post here, 256.16 and 265 range targeted a week ago were met. my expectation is that we will hit the double digit ytd returns on this name by the end of this year, so 275 and beyond is in the card, with some small choppiness.
  7. mervyn

    Tesla 2024

    the plaintiff pays for the fees, that's pretty standard. but the amount is nut, probably class action lawyers should pay the plaintiffs.
  8. mervyn

    Americans are Poorer. The United States Misery Index Rises Again

    chaebol and oligarch, that's what we live under. long live the revolution
  9. mervyn

    Daily Crude Chat

    not could, but realized
  10. mervyn

    Daily Crude Chat

    no, shorted few round trips in the last few days, gross 2.1k. keep shorts until 80 and 80.55 targets.
  11. mervyn

    This guy says ai is unproven and effectively useless...

    it is generative ai, get ride of repetitive wrok but not smart
  12. mervyn

    Capital protected ETF

    for etfs yes. for 2-2.5 year fixed maturity notes, it is very safe with a higher return. don’t even need to roll the option.
  13. mervyn

    Capital protected ETF

    US regulators won’t allow US retail customers to access structured derivative products. Overseas you can sell to the retail customers as “deposits”, with a counterparty risk because mainly it is executed via cfd trades.
  14. mervyn

    Capital protected ETF

    i had done these structures before the gfc, for a large retail bank with structure desk in london, index-linked notes, it was called.
  15. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    not counting candles with al brooks but mindful of his high level view.
  16. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    i am short but have a hard stop at 5660. that would bring down my ytd futures trading return back to 2.5x.
  17. mervyn

    This guy thinks a 30% drop is coming

    credit supernova redux, i'd say. everyone dies. https://williamhgross.com/credit-supernova-redux/ With credit now expanding, the sophisticated economic model provided by Minsky was working its way towards what he called Ponzi finance. First, he claimed the system would borrow in low amounts...
  18. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    my 10 ztu24 is green $8022. told you the bond trade is back. powell needs to go, he bs a lot. if cpi day next thursday has any goods, i wouldn't be surprised it will hit 102'16.0, my exit target. long short term and short long term, that is the street's trade, i am not completely convinced.
  19. mervyn

    How is Palantir not at $85 ?

    hate to break it to you, sell now and pocket your gains, and wait for lower entry point again. it is just money, not yours until you cash out.
  20. mervyn

    This guy thinks a 30% drop is coming

    reading the responses on this thread is scary, 2022 was that long ago. where were you then?
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