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    Realistic per futures contract per trade profitability

    The relationship is unlikely to be pure linear; as I understand it, common quant finance models of price evolution rely on the sum of a linear term (drift x time) and a sqrt (time) term (volatility x sqrt(time)).
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    Ticks (Last Traded Price) ... float or double?

    Thanks! Would this work as foillows? a) multiply tick price by the number (100, or 10000, or whatever) that makes the decimal number an integer b) keep track of that "multiplier" (which will be different across different instruments) to reverse the calculation (and convert back to...
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    Ticks (Last Traded Price) ... float or double?

    Thanks! How would I go about this? Any hints/pointers on where I could read up about what's required... Am working with C# ... Many thanks, again.
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    Ticks (Last Traded Price) ... float or double?

    I need to store and work with large numbers of ticks (last traded price) in memory. Can I store these ticks as float rather than double? I can't think of any tick requiring greater than 7 digits of precision. Are there any? When I use the ticks for calculations I will convert to double...
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    Back Testing - Optimization - How to Orchestrate

    Let's say your edge was that you suspected a break through the prior day's High or Low usually led to a break out that could be chased for a reasonable trade. What I am saying is that before you look at coding a strategy that looks for a break out and then enters a trade, and adds a target...
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    Back Testing - Optimization - How to Orchestrate

    Great post. Thanks for sharing! Another rule: Before you move on to creating a trading strategy to test, convince yourself (using Excel, or statistics, or whatever ...) that the edge you wish to exploit is really there in the data (i.e. in the price data, or whatever data you are using)...
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    What has changed since October 2007...and what has stayed the same?

    http://www.amazon.com/Fault-Lines-Fractures-Threaten-Economy/dp/0691152632/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1362565597&sr=8-1&keywords=fault+lines
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    “We want the FTT to wipe out HFT" (February 2013).

    FTT On 21 February, the first Council working group on the new FTT proposal published by the European Commission on 14 February 2013 took place. The proposal is being taken forward via ‘enhanced cooperation’ as the majority of Member States were fiercely opposed to the introduction of...
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    “We want the FTT to wipe out HFT" (February 2013).

    Axel Troost, a member of the Left party, said today that “We want the FTT to wipe out HFT”. Back in February 2011 Angela Merkel and leading cabinet members expressed outspoken disapproval to speed limits. Life ironies!!! By Jonathan Morgan on February 27, 2013 (Bloomberg)...
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    How do you code patterns?

    If you can identify the elements of your pattern (i.e. simpler "sub patterns", e.g. say an "Up bar, followed by a higher Up bar, then a Down bar that closes between the High and Low of the first Up bar...." etc) and the order in which they should appear, then you can move a search window...
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    Changing Colors in Ninja Trader

    Post the same question here ... http://www.ninjatrader.com/support/forum/index.php
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    How much is an ATS worth?

    If you were talking about valuing a large cap business for sale, then valuation would proceed along any of the following lines: - Net Present Value of discounted future estimated net cash flow (after any and all costs, taxes, interest payments, etc where relevant). - Comparable...
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    Excel VAR errors and London whale bets

    Interesting, thanks! IMO, testing in Excel can often be done similarly to how an accountant checks a new set of accounts to ensure that PnL and Balance Sheet actually do "balance". ... i.e. find alternative routes through the numbers that ought to give you the same result at the end, and...
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    simple robust 3rd party API to trade IB?

    www.ninjatrader.com Works with IB. Can either be purchased outright, or has a monthly cost. Uses C#. You can use IB's data feed, or an alternative.
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    daily 'option' cost of having a stock limit order roughly right ?

    I have seen this estimated another way, which might be of interest to you … (see “Trading & Exchanges”, Larry Harris, Ch. 14, section headed “A simple timing option example”) … I am rephrasing it for the case you gave, but essentially it goes as follows: Assume there are four...
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    new and thinking of backtesting with passive limit orders ?..

    Simulating queue position is most important if you're scalping ticks and placing orders at the top of the order book (and then you're competing against HFT, whose participants have been investing in that 'arms race' for some time ... i.e. years). It requires big bucks to play that game (for...
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    daily 'option' cost of having a stock limit order roughly right ?

    This should be " ... * 1/(SQRT(250)) ...", I think ...
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    Always-in automated system

    24/7 operations - assuming you've cracked 2) and 3), then "24/7" becomes "24/5"... this gives you an opportunity to at least power down your modem and computer for a few hours each week (yes, you wouldn't have to worry about this with VPS, but in my experience there are still different...
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    How to build an automated system

    Great thread! Thanks for starting ... What rules of thumb are there? What's too many? What's too few? There's lots in what you've written in the quote above that I'd appreciate understanding better. Could you expand each of these points, or give examples? Many thanks again ...
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