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    Invitations to the inaugural ball

    Collected from AAAintheBeltway's Winners and Losers thread, I'm inviting the following list of obvious winners to the inaugural ball: Mike Pence Kelly Ann Conway Steve Bannon Rush Limbaugh Mike Savage Mike Huckabee Bobby Knight Mike Dikta Mike Tyson Hey don't forget Mike Tyson who took a stand...
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    Winners and Losers

    Well he did go to Berlin and say, "Mr Gorbachev, tear down this wall!". So yah, I guess he beat them.
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    Winners and Losers

    Well, the first thing Reagan said was "let the bombing begin". He was joking of course, and went on to work with Gorbachev to make the world safer and more free.
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    The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

    There's an elector in my blue state that is going to take a $1000 fine rather than cast a vote for the name that I shall not mention. Maybe he will now...now that he knows it doesn't matter. I appreciate that but still don't get it. Are the number of electors not exactly proportional to the...
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    Invitations to the inaugural ball

    Well, I was going to start this thread yesterday to be funny but was too busy laying down bets at Bovada. Now we must begin the serious business of making a list of personalities to invite to the President's ball. You see, he got a lot of help from supporters, surrogates, media, "alt-right"...
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    The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

    I think they were planning to steal it with software on strategically placed voting machines. The polls provide cover for the steal. Maybe there was too much heat. So it failed.
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    ITS OVER

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    Paradise Lost

    Let me guess, you hope Bill Maher sees this and hires you to be on his joke writing team? Like any Christian pastor, rich or poor, on or off the golf course, you are conflating and confusing the conditions of heaven with the conditions of hell. I haven't talked about the qualities of the...
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    Proof Trump will win

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    Paradise Lost

    Now, the reason you won't get the gift back through a Christian, let alone a rich Christian pastor, is because they prefer to conflate and confuse the original gift (which I call the pre-existing condition) with some aspect of the "paradise lost" condition. For example, they will tell you that...
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    Paradise Lost

    In my explaination I must not have emphasized enough that there is currently confusion and conflation between the initial pre-existing condition(s) and the practice of telling people about it...and thier need to accept it at the cost of all false beliefs regarding same. The true gift is/was/is...
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    Paradise Lost

    Ok I'll straighten this whole thing out. It depends on what you think the gift is, and you won't find out from Christians. If you compare the gift to anything tangible/physical like a million dollars, it gets impossibly complex and will generate arguments that all fail because of...
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    Hillary shipping in Puerto Ricans to vote in Florida

    Yes on a broomstick.
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    Hillary shipping in Puerto Ricans to vote in Florida

    Oh well here's these other two bets. Surely there's one here to suit even the most die-hard surrogate.
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    Hillary shipping in Puerto Ricans to vote in Florida

    At Bovada you can bet that Florida will go blue. You're welcome. Oh, and you can use the friend link in my profile to get yourself even more bonuses than usual. With a 50% Welcome Bonus you can apply toward a Florida bet, your odds are pretty good. You are my friend aren't you?
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    Trump Opens Up 16 point lead with independents

    A few days ago they were paying out about $38 for the same $20 bet. So odds have improved, even as Trump has risen in the polls. I consider Trump's real chances to be 50%. So I think it's a good binary-type bet, especially if I end up using my 50% Welcome Bonus toward it. I've got $20 to bet...
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    Trump Opens Up 16 point lead with independents

    I signed up at Bovada and got a 50% Welcome Bonus that is applicable to the presidential election (subcategory of sports). They take US players. Had to show ID to deposit. I deposited bitcoin. They have many more types of presidential bets than just who wins. Popular votes by state. Overall...
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    Trump Opens Up 16 point lead with independents

    I ran some numbers. Basically you bet $20 for every $200 you have to bet on this type of bet. Assuming her chances are 80% , you have a very good chance to walk away with 16.5% on your money if you had ten opportunities to spread out your $200 bet.
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    Trump Opens Up 16 point lead with independents

    So, money management, eh? Breakeven is 65% Meaning, if Hilarious Clowntown has a 65% chance of winning, you can make this bet 1000 times and expect to break even at zero. On the other hand if it's chances are 80% then, using $20 as a base bet, in ten attempts you would expect to make (9.2 x...
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