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this would also mean IWM would lag since I believe small caps are mostly domestic.

Hi, If we are going weaker dollar, than that with portend that companies that bring income from overseas to have EPS grow faster. Maybe this is why DOW is leading? Theoretically, the strongest would be: Companies that bring in their income from overseas, these would be the industrials...

Isn't this an oxymoron since you can't optimize a system? (Ie you can only optimize it for backtested results, not future).

its hard to believe its a bottom. I think why everyone hopes its a bubble is because of the long-term negative effects on GDP because everyone will be busy paying off their high costs houses, so less discretionary income for everything else.

You need to watch CNBC. Somehow this is a good thing(tm) and its different this time. How insightful!

Also consider that you are assuming the end point (and assuming I'm talking about the current market, but whatever) is today. What if the next year the market lost 50% of its value and went sideways for 15 years, than exploded 1000% higher. During those 15years it would break many of the common...

Until you understand the concepts like risk adjusted return you will never be rich. For example in a given year, is using 100% equity and getting 15% return better than getting 10% return with 1% equity? (I know, there are drawdowns, and other things to consider). Since I saw someone win...

i think the negative growth didn't mean comparatively but absolutely, meaning it would have to be a negative number for two quarters.

I'm referring to generally speaking. EVEN if an investor made money over 20 years, the risk/reward when considering inflation, the amount of comissions, transaction charges (loads, etc) means IMHO that an "investor" in mutual funds has lost. (that is, in absolute terms they might have made money...

Was curious what people who actually trade day in, day out thought. What say you?

The irony of course, is that its the DEMOCRATs that are supposed to bring fiscal discipline!

hungarian straddles, but I dont knwo what they are

the catch is if there is a meltdown will the counterparties honor their agreements (like futures, etc). Unlikely. if you're really concerned, I'd get bullion and store it somewhere. I dont think things will function as you think they will in a meltdown. I think the government is trying to...

tbh, maybe he has the magic formula if you fade his picks, losing that much in a week takes skill (i cant imagine ti was all commission!)

the biggest challenge in your scenario is that you have to overcome your losses, ie your assuming you pick only winners. Everyone on this board understands you have to make more as % to overcome a smaller % loss initially.

im buying some monday, but only for a bounce..

yes, i dont run into him much anymore but when i traded in YM boards he was quite fun to communicate with!

very nice call mymini!! Probably best/most accurate call I've seen on ET ever! (well you were right so you beat 99% of them)

Hi, Does anyone else find it strange that DIA, SPY, IWM, and MDY have broken out of their bases to the upside, even QQQQ with SMH lagging? Usually, NAS leads and SMH leads NAS. I've never seen SMH lag so badly (not even broken out) while QQQQ and everything else is moving. Maybe its...

just kidding :) Congrats Dow longs!! You've waited quite a while! (But not as long as those SPY and QQQQ guys!)