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All that needs to be noted is what you posted on the previous page to see who is lying and twisting... "In terms of evaluating "probability of profit", I think one should also consider the downside tech support CB has demonstrated in the $35 area,... per the 1 year chart below. You need to...

Which part was hard for you to understand?

I suggest you learn how to calculate probabilities, there are no subjective variables. I have no particular interest in your trade other than making sure anyone who happens along this thread is not fooled into thinking that your subjective guesses in things such as trends or t/a has any...

As has been stated many times to you on all of the boards you infest probability calculations are set in stone and have no subjectivity.

I will re post what I said for those (PM) who have issues with reading comprehension. Probabilities are simple calculations there are NO variables in the equation for probability which encompass items such as trend or technical support which putty believes there should be. The previous poster...

CB traded below 35 in March so you need not waste time looking back 5 years to see when the last time traded there was. In terms of probability… There is no variables in the calculation of a probability for “technical support” or “trend”. Those are subjective measures and have no...

I'll send them another note to do it. How may times will this clown try the same garbage here?

This forum is about options questions and answers not posting of ones own real or imaginary trades. Further this particular thread in this forum is a discussion on strategy adjustments not posting of ones own losing trades. I'll be happy to alert the monitors so they can keep things on topic.

This is a common theme for him on every single options board he infests. He will resurface here or on yahoo or some other board and make an AXXX of himself there till he gets removed

Options can be crossed at any price with the high and low of the day. SO you may see 10k trade at what appears to be the ask at the time but those may have traded earlier and be linked to stock or other options and have nothing at all to do with what the market in those options at the time they...

Any index you want can be calc in real time dow jones or otherwise and why should a free website give you free real time data? Do you think that firms dont pay for data feeds? Gimmie a break. On the mm side its mostly done with computers these days there are no "guys" standnign around LOL...

First of all as a retail investor you get the NBBO so it’s irrelevant which exchange it goes to and odds are your retail order goes to the place where your broker gets the best kickback for sending orders assuming its still NBBO. It never matters who does the other side of the trade. For...

Well said!

Why bring MM's or tbills into the convo and why take an cheap shot?

Who cares if a MM is right or wrong in your opinion ? what was the point of your comment, other than to display to a higher degree that the vast anonymity of the internet is a bit much for some people?

DMO as usual you're correct also as usual there are people who cant handle the anonymity of the internet and they will argue the impossible but cant present the proof. DMO I thank you again for the always good conversation, accurate info and opinions which myself and others appreciate...

Wait ...people make things up here? Damm I have to rethink this whole forum now

Actually the time premium on the put would include the premium to short the stock so if the stock you're talking about is a hard to borrow stock with an high premium to borrow the stock you're likely to get assigned early.

More likely there is early exercise risk where you will have to pay a huge premium to hold the short stock because it is most likely a hard to borrow stock which is why the box appeared to be mispriced, and I am sure its more than you collected on the box.

You're not really talking about "skew" you're talking about the shape and slope of the volatility curve. The term skew generally refers to the difference in IV of the OTM puts vs. the ATM and the OTM calls. I would hate to generalize the vol curve and try and fit that generalization to any...