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And only an hour later, NDX is at 1937. What's your stop?

Welcome back from your retirement. :)

How's that? S&P and Dow are unchanged, and Nasdaq and Russell 2000 are both down almost 1%.

I made: (1990-1960) + (1990-1965) + (1990-1976) = 69 points, fading your calls. :cool:

I did exactly the opposite: went long at 1960 & 1976. NDX is now at 1990, giving me 44 points of profit. :cool:

Today is the kind of a day that any ball's prediction could be claimed as a success. "Buy the dips", "Sell the rallies", "Flat market": all of them would be right.

I'm playing it short from SPX 1358.5. There are two minutes minutes left before the drop.

I am playing the anti-ball today. Short from S&P 1352.

Link to story: http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/04/news/newsmakers/buffett_bet.fortune/

What pain? Here is the reality check: Dow +0.58% Nasdaq -0.61% S&P 500 +0.08%

"Probably"? You sound less confident these days. What happened to your unequivocal "There will be no bear markets ever again" and "there is no compelling reason for markets to go down"?

You should be happy if you can make a 10% annual return after commissions on that account.

Covered my 5K shares at $31.15 :)

As recorded in my blog, yesterday my followers bought NDX 2022 (when RFT went short) and reversed to short at the close at NDX 2055 (when RFT got a margin call on his short position). My followers covered the short position at NDX 1995 at exactly 2:58pm today. Total gain is 93 NDX points in...

I sold it short yesterday at $37.25. Still short.

I can calculate the probabilities, but what's the point of this exercise? In real trading, the high/low of the stock for the day is not known at 9:30. And when you do know the high/low, you can't buy or sell at the "open" price. So, what's the point?

OK, now that we have it straightened out, I'll restate your original question for everyone's benefit: On a given day, the stock traded as: open: $10.90 high: $11 low: $10 And your question is, "was the close on the same day likely to be higher or lower than $10.90"? Correct? The...

So, at 4pm, I can buy or sell the stock, and my fill price would be the 9:30am open for that same stock on the same day?

Now I am even more confused. I guess what you are asking is "what is the likely close of the bar, given the bar's open, high, and low"? Is that right?

Well, in that case, I bet no one understands your question. What are the "High Price and the Low Price of the stock which are $10.18 and $10.28"? For what period? And why is the "high price" lower than the "low price"?