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  1. globalarbtrader

    Trend Following Strategies

    https://qoppac.blogspot.com/2020/02/what-is-right-way-to-set-stop-losses.html GAT
  2. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    That's nice but I don't really have time to verify your system for you Rob
  3. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Again would be very helpful if your plot had an x-axis on it... https://photos.app.goo.gl/jZz39sqeNXJTA64X9
  4. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    "NY Harbor ULSD" is probably the least helpful description of an instrument I've ever seen... apparently it's heating oil. I wish people would just give the name of the instrument rather than these cryptic codes. My codes for these markets are HEATOIL and GASOILINE. Anyway yes they both make...
  5. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    What are HO and RB? Rob
  6. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Hi I'm happy to keep doing your maths for you, but I will have to charge you for the time I am spending on these queries. Since I'm a nice guy I will give you a discount on my normal consultancy rate, and I'll charge you just $496 per hour. If that's okay, please DM me with further questions...
  7. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    I forgot to divide the spread by 2. Sheet is correct. Use the formula in the sheet for the spread rather than overwriting it by hand Rob
  8. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Spread is obviously wrong should be 0.04 % transaction cost 0.04/110 is 0.036% Vol normalised tc 0.036/8.7=0.004 Rob
  9. globalarbtrader

    Selling AI bot

    Oh wow I have a free open source trading strategy wtih 1.7 million lines of code, so I guess I should be charging 1000*1700/5.5 = $305k for it :-) GAT
  10. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    image not found Rob
  11. globalarbtrader

    Poll: How often do you reoptimize ?

    I'm not sure that's really optimisation, we're talking about some kind of parameter fitting process I think. I run a daily optimisation to determine what trades I should do, but the parameters that control the forecasts which dictate those trades are never optimised. So I answered 'never'. The...
  12. globalarbtrader

    Some books on trading

    Some classic books but not a single one on trading
  13. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Yes always 1's on the diagonal, or it ain't a correlation matrix anymore Rob
  14. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Yes when I say 'independent' I mean all off diagonals are 0, so yes that would be the identity. I do sometimes use the average correlation when I'm trying to do a more robust optimisation, but for this use case we want something closer to 0. Yes addition for matricies is element by element...
  15. globalarbtrader

    What’s your algo trading setup?

    Python IB API via ib_insync Home grown strategy code https://github.com/robcarver17/pysystemtrade GAT
  16. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    OK so you're using the provided AFTS code and not pysystemtrade. You have to shrink the correlation matrix (see https://qoppac.blogspot.com/2021/11/mr-greedy-and-tale-of-minimum-tracking.html) " Essentially, once I started examining the results of my optimisation more carefully, I realised...
  17. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Not exactly what you mean by a negative covariance? Rob
  18. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Costs are correct. NASDAQ is a cheap market - tight spread, highish vol. Costs 0.00018 in SR units (hope you can work that out as a %) to trade NASDAQ futures per trade, so less than half what you have here. Note that with zero commission, minimum capital size does not affect costs. Rob
  19. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Right... are you sure that trading is the right option for you? Because without being rude, this is very elementary stuff. In the UK it's covered at the age of 10 years old. It's also a question that could be answered with a basic google search, so I feel like you are wasting my time here.... Rob
  20. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    There aren't cash markets for STIR. Think about it how can you trade euribor 'cash'? What even does that even mean? For the bonds there are cash markets but not ones that really can be accessible by retail (There aren't really cash markets that retail investors can access in most futures) What...
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