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Ability is not enough. You need an edge. If a team doesn't have an edge in terms of player skill, consistency will not suffice. I have met many people who were diligent, consistent and hard working but they did not make it because they did not have an edge in their business. Trading is many...

That is not what I meant, you know it and you are wasting your time. I talked about newbies.

Trading 5 minutes is noise trading. 4H works well in forex. Daily for stocks. Weekly for indices. Futures 30 minute to daily. That is if you trade seriously, not just for the adrenaline. Leave the intraday to MMs. Otherwise they'll take care of you.

More details please. Do you get errors? or maybe you think your strategy ran well before and now realize that it wasn't?

If a losing system when reversed is a winning system then it is as hard to find as any other winning system. It is actually a winning system, reversed. Get it? This is usually one of the first aspirations newbies have when they start trading. The other is to take both a long and a short...

I think those who elect to be free are standing in your way of seducing the masses with the dream of state employment in exchange for their devotion to a regime.

Very few people care about your beliefs. People care only about that which you can proove. Do you have any proof? Most institutions look at indicators because they want to know how retail trades and kick their butt.

As far back as in 1993. All custom hardware/software with broker. If you want to use indicators in a statistically significant manner you should be prepared to accept large drawdown. If you optimize, you will have a random system. If you are looking for a trading system via random...

Maybe adaptation wasn't the problem. Maybe he killed the goose that laid the golden egg. Like a partner, a piece of software he wasn't able to update, an edge that was arbitraged out of the market.

Any arbitrary percentage you consider will be some fraction of %Kelly. So what %Kelly is good for? To be honest, I think whoever trades with %Kelly is an idiot and deserves it.

But this is not an outlook, it is a description of that is happening that can change at any time. A proper outlook requires specific direction and targets for profits. Only then its performance can be evaluated.

Please guys, the OP was very polite. Maybe he has made some mistakes but we all have at some point in time, haven't we? If you have a 10-minute bar where all these events can occur and you go into it flat, then you cannot know which event happened first unless you use tick data. The only...

It is quite possible that you have implemented a look ahead of some kind in your backtest or you have fallen a victim of a backtesting flaw in the software you are using. These are typical in all platforms.

They can blow at once, 50% + 50% with low probability of 1% (0.1 x 0.1) or the first may blow and after a while the second will blow in which case the probability is 100% if you trade long enough. Let p be the probability that system A does not blow and then B does not blow, with p < 1. Then...

There was a time in the 1970's I believe when people paid interest to Swiss banks to hold their deposits. Big time I mean... For those that appear stunned, possibly because of ignorance, negative rates is what you usually get from governments when you buy debt if you subtract inflation.

Is this called a "two-way" forecast? It sounds to me like the ancient Delphi oracle.

Actually you recommended to a guy who admits is a beginner to the most difficult zero-sum game, FX.

Tres bien...

I think you are mixing a few things here, maybe because you haven't tried any of these. StrataSearch and Price Action Lab create systems that traders are more familiar with when looking at them. StrataSearch is more of a permutation tool in my experience. It can create some strange rules. On...

If he is undercapitalized for stocks and futures then he is orders of magnitude undercapitalized for FX. The fact that FX pool operators offer low margins or high leverage to attract small accounts does not mean these accounts are well-capitalized for this market especially when they are trading...