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    trend following delusion shattered

    The future move in Oil is more likely up than down because it is in an uptrend. The future moves of the dollar are more likely down than up because the dollar is currently in a downtrend. The future moves of the S&P is more likely up than down because the S&P is in an overall uptrend. The term...
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    trend following delusion shattered

    That proves it, I am Belzabub! :-) Hope all is well with you..
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    trend following delusion shattered

    I like Hank Rollins, however, I must respectfully disagree wholeheartedly with regard to the issue of trend-following. The existence of trends in my opinion is clear. With that said, a trend is not a guarantee of immediate success, rather, a greater probability of price movement in the direction...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I had to dump a boatload of Euros on the way down after the figure. It really hurt to bite the bullet. I had a nice day working. In the short run, I think a lot of damage has been done. Everyone is expecting this EUR selloff to be temporary and as such, it may just extend a little further and a...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Still buying.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    It would probably take a trade below 1.24 to get me to abandon trading from the long side in the EUR. I say around 1.24 because that is basically the area where we broke out to the upside from our previous major consolidation 1.20-24. I know that 7 big figures seems like a lot, however, it's not...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I'm buying EUR again, 1.3167. Best, Neal.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Continue to buy Euros.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I'm back and I'm in the market buying Euro and Yen again for the 1st time in a long time. Took a hiatus to let the $ retrace and now it's time to become reinvolved. I expect 1.45 on the EUR soon (not sure exact timing). :-)
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Thanks. :)
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Holy Shit! Got lucky here. This could be a major reversal day if we close the day at or below current levels (1.3230).
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I'm done for the year. Materially have liquidated everything although I still think the trends are in place and the bond especially has a long way to fall from here. It's been a very good year and I need a much needed break and light vacation. I'm sure I'll be checking and posting. Who knows...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Big Bank of China story, selling bonds and $$.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    My how trader sentiment has changed :)
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I've taken profits on 70% of my core position up here. Looking to get down to a 5% position as the market continues to rally up through 1.3300. No sign of a reversal, just looking to finish up my year already on a good note.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Can't figure it out. You'll now it when you see it. Until then, don't bet on it.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    With all due respect Gringinho, 200 lots cannot push this market more than 1 tick. It must be a larger cash player with the arbs following in futures. As they say, the seller is always the buyer! :)
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    edit: It's like - a thousand contracts around 1.3228 right now ... but still no sizable hits on the bid side ... amazing. Actually it was 28,29,30. Hello~ I took profits on half my long term core position. :) Made about 12 big figures in total on that half. Still hoping for some more on...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    The size flashing in and out for around 200 lots is usually just arbs against cash, no games.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Yes, short S&P and Bonds.
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