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This is a repeating theme in the various winning traders I've read about. In other words "fade human nature"......... ?

Interesting. So an indicator helps you size up the odds?

I'm beginning to think your behavior is intended to test the psychology of the people around you. This post, however, almost makes sense. Again, how do you know this high probability setup will persist into the future?

How do you know how I trade?

How can you trade the oddz when you don't know the future?

What's your problem?

Either way it looks like you're coming out ahead. The big risk is that the assumptions behind the original system become invalid some day and the system blows up your account, not whether your sharpe ratio goes down 10%. I've seen 80% / 20% recommended many times, but I'm too new at this to...

We shall let the balances of our trading accounts reflect how functional we have been in the market........ No judgement, no competition, just getting paid for a service. "Win or lose, everybody gets what they want out of the market. Some people seem to like losing, so they win by...

You've posted this over and over. I'll turn this argument around: what would happen if no one traded the markets? Is is wrong for the local plumber to covet a share of the local market? What would your town be like if there was only one? Businesses fail because they do not...

Do you attempt to trade short term? If so, why?

Thanks for the vote of confidence. :D

Interesting how you have never considered the farmer, the miner, the rancher, the company CFO, or other hedgerz who are not looking to make a profit trading, only raise capital and eliminate price fluctuation risk! Also interesting how you have avoided arguing for / against the market's...

I'm actually a swing trader, and occasionally use long options to take my positions. :eek:

The market is what you believe it to be. You trade your beliefs about the market. I perceive that you believe the market is full of people who are trying to outdo, one-up, check-mate, bait & switch, HFT steal, or otherwise take away your stake so you must beat them to the punch. It may...

Lots of stuff like this in the tradestation forums. Lots of sample code in the tradestation console. Lots of video tutorials on the tradestation site. I'm sure ninjatrader is similar and so is traderstudio. However, the particular recipe that may or may not quadruple your capital in a...

I write bearish posts in internet forums and blogs while I go long stocks. :D

Why don't you test a few of those codes posted at other websites and come back with the performance report? :D

It could just be that your brain is not compatible with trend following. You may find more success with a different strategy. As Intradaybill stated, it's one of the hardest strategies to use. Perhaps Price Physics or Astro Arb will appeal to your sensibilities? :D

As Handle123 stated, how you manage the trade after you enter is far more important than when / how you enter........ No prediction, just management of the trade after it is put on. You could argue that by positioning yourself for a trend after your setup, you have predicted that one...

You may have just given away your trading style. :D I know I did - trends are based on fear of missing out or fear of losing. Your tactics of anticipating the big money can only be horizontal support / resistance due to limit buying. How else could you move huge money without moving...