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I predict we crush the top either Monday or Tuesday. Usual late option week selling didn't occur despite a huge call/put imbalance ( according to another reader ). This suggests a lot of conviction behind bulls going into Xmas. Good news ( US economic and earnings re ORCL/RIMM ) will take...

A stock doesn't have to close at a strike price to have been manipulated in this way. What will usually be observed is a stock that is say .50-.70 cents above a popular strike will drift downwards to some point closer to the strike near end of day. One additional aspect is sometimes the last...

I'll say it again. The effect is real and must be accounted for if you hold options for equities on the last day. People can learn from voices of experience or idly theorize based on emotions. Market manipulators love emotional traders and people who think the world is a fair game.

Better to get high risk high reward with some diversification or hedging of the risk. I don't believe low reward is worth putting your capital on the line in a high risk fashion. The 90% probably is short term market conditions, which can change overnight and suddenly your "at risk" capitals...

Actually, the November Philly number was a game changer the moment it was released. The best trades would be entered within moments after its release, getting 80-95% of the effect which continued over at least several trading days. In order to have the conviction to make that trade, one...

My experience suggests your first statement is simply wrong. I see clustering around strike price every month on Canadian stocks. The potential strike price tends to become fairly obvious around late Thursday afternoon, except for stocks subject to news/major catalyst on Friday. The trading...

No. The whole thread seems to be an elaborate scam and should be pulled from the site.

Is your vacation made up too ? Hard to tell where the fantasy starts and ends with you. It was interesting though to see you announce you simply wanted to escape from a trading trap, then supposably escape somewhat out of that trap, then plow ahead and create an even bigger trap afterwards...

The main issue I have with this kind of analysis is it characterizes the market as one big moving beast. In fact, since mid-year I believe we have been getting much more divergence in markets and sector based plays are very important. So while we may get a correction in metals stocks in...

Of course markets are manipulated daily by all sorts of people. Since I started day trading I can see even more ways markets are manipulated. Making it work for you is definately part of the strategy to profit from trading. ( e.g. Someone posted today they don't believe in "max pain"...

In the past few years, how often are you holding options on expiry day ? How many people on here actually trade options on expiry day ?

As an experienced options trader I can tell you the general idea behind "max pain" is important. Its not every stock but I can tell you there are many stocks that frequently regress to whole number areas on expiry day. If you hold until late in the day on a barely "in the money" position, more...

Discussing news from both a bullish and bearish perspective using risk/reward ideas is the best approach to successful speculation. I feel you have a tendancy to post with a bullish or bearish bias and discount the other side completely. Some of the best trades I have either executed or...

Natural gas has huge supply so the price is fairly low. Commodities like copper are not being produced enough to meet actual demand, so price must go up.

Good example is RIM. Some say its overvalued; actual financials say its undervalued. If someone owns bonds making nothing ( and some holding risk now ), how can it possibly be bad to own some RIM instead ? And note that if strong companies like RIM go up in price, that indexes like NASDAQ and...

RIMM earnings tonight suggest economy pretty decent. TSX and NASDAQ should rally tommorrow on the news. Outlook was pretty decent as well. This is the main catalyst to higher markets : corporate earnings. I say this over and over again but it is ignored on here in favour of an overstated...

Look dumb ass, I don't care what you think. Do you always get this angry when you are perpetually wrong about markets ? Go see a psychiatrist, get better, then resume posting once you are sure you are mentally stable.

I am indeed saying that corporate earnings reports in 2011 will consistantly beat earnings in 2010. I am not alone in this sentiment. I also don't think you understand the nature of speculative short term investment, even though your thread revolves around the idea of doing exactly that. You...

Your first point is bang on and probably the next catalyst to move this market higher. I think one difference now is I expect this new money to be entering large cap blue chip companies with strong earnings history ( and some yield ). A lot of current money is in risk equities and we might also...

I believe today may have represented your best chance to cover your short prior to year end. Friday may give you one last chance, but not if the Philly Survey is strong again. Surely you must realize almost every US economic indicator has been market positive the last few weeks. That 22.5...