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    S&P 500 Index Analysis

    And I disagree, because markets are forward looking and first quarter earnings and dividend growth look very promising. We are climbing the "wall of worry" quite nicely as most bull markets do. In fact, I believe the markets are playing a good trick on people who tend to overthink what is...
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    BDI is in a serious decline again

    That term "double dip" should have been retired many months ago but I guess we can always count on some clueless permabear hoping for it no matter how unlikely it is. I shudder at thinking someone who has clearly ignored a vast number of strong economic indicators ( including manufacturing...
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    Ok, smart guy, I can tell you right now I lost ZERO dollars on the flash crash. Tell me how your paranoid short bias made you money on the event. Be specific I'm eager to know how you profit from this fear. Traders know that someone shorting that drop was almost as much at risk of a large loss...
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    Buddy, reading your posts, you are definately an amateur who understands very little about stock markets and trading. This is not open to debate it is very clear and obvious. You don't seem to understand the "flash crash" it had almost no effect on most swing traders. If anything, it was an...
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    S&P 500 Index Analysis

    I'm calling an upward move next few trading days to test 1300 level. Go long immediately.
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    CEO of Shadow stats predicts hyperinflation in 6 months

    The whole concept is stupid, what is the point of posting trash from clearly irrational people ? Are you people insane ?
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    Could you supply a graph of the major stock indexes from 1988-2000 and explain to me where the second crash occurred ? Because this is the kind of event you keep predicting week after week, some sort of double crash idea that I don't remember ever happening in my lifetime. Maybe the early...
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    From the news today, it looks like my strategy to go long blue chip banks and technology stocks was the right one for now; CSCO talking about a dividend and financials showing relative strength again today. Looking forward to a more normal volume day for confirmation.
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    VIX very low, hardy suggests danger of any type. You seem paranoid, although I would agree reading ET tends to expose one to all sorts of bearish hysteria. Reminds me of the technology bulls of the late 1990s, only its people dreaming about getting rich shorting the market. Must be some sort of...
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    I'm having a hard time finding precedent for a crash only 22 months after the last crash ended. Enlighten me what makes you think this time is different and epic on a historical basis. Is it the record setting corporate earnings ? The liquidity in the market ? The attraction of 0% savings...
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    I am making a short term play looking for a gain the first two trading days in January ( blue chip financial and technology ). Options seem cheap right now you don't need much of a move to make money. January I have no opinion its too early to know. I'm thinking short metals on any strength...
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    My price target on the S&P in 2011 - 1050

    Tell us about some real trades that you have bought to profit from your tremendous forecasting ability. So far, I've noted you : 1. Shorted AAPL and lost money. 2. Bought Triple Bear Big Caps and lost money. You also posted some idea of shorting something when the S&P 500 was 8%...
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    Trading Lessons/Insights From Coin Flipping

    Two things about this : 1. If we were to get actual trading results from people condoning coin flipping you'd see they either trade rarely or trade badly. A rare person might luck out and make significant dollars short term. 2. Martingale theory has been proven...
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    Do you actually know anyone that is locking in gains for the year ? It seems a stretch, the markets are only up around 13% ytd and I would imagine any nervous investors would have bailed when the market dropped from 1230 to 1177. Since then its been new money coming in I'm sure. I'm thinking...
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    My price target on the S&P in 2011 - 1050

    S&P 500 was 8% lower when you posted that beauty.
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    Oil rises to new six-month high.....Do I hear $75, $100, $150, $300

    Here again you let your personal bias interefere with making money. You keep saying Oil is only worth $35 but even your rhetoric seems to suggest you expected $100. So why did you not INVEST A WAD OF MONEY BULLISH ON OIL ???? Even back in May 2009 I remember many analysts unclear on Oil were...
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    Weekly Poll: Last Chance To Show Off Your Prediction Skills In 2010!

    More US economic news on Tueday and Thursday will guide the market. My guess is up 1-4% this week. Usually some new buyers come in early January at which point I plan on taking profits. I think the downside long is fairly limited until then. New trade idea is shorting certain metals plays in...
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    China Finally Tightens

    I'm thinking the complete opposite now. Seasonality for Gold ends in January and the US economy is getting stronger. Just when you least expect it Gold may correct. I like Copper far more then Gold at this point. In terms of trading, I'm looking at shorting junior miners and explorers that...
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    Bernanke is right

    In reality, we have very little inflation right now, and the recession in the US has already ended. Looking at world history, it seems that a gradual rise in inflation is the best option, far better then a deflationary environment. If inflation and/or GDP starts to spike, the US government...
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    S&P 500 Index Analysis

    I partially disagree. There is value in the news, its how he reacts to the news that needs work. He holds onto his losers far too long when his ideas are refuted. He has a tendancy to filter out news that runs counter to his current position. However, the news items he picks out are important...
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