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  1. S

    Where to begin developing?

    Just do what works for you. Easylanguage is a good start for those who are not programmers.
  2. S

    What are common ways to profit from very trending stocks?

    + 1 The only way...
  3. S

    New highs

    + 1 Draghi effect
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    Mathematics of Betting: Odds vs Probability vs RRR

    Odds is what you expect to win for every unit of currency you bet. So the wiki article is stupid because we do not know the payoff. The article commits the fundamental error of confusing probabilities with values of random variables that are assigned to the probably events.Odds could be...
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    How to understand the conflit between performance and monte carlo simulation?

    MC destroys auto-correlation of returns. Useless...
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    A thought on trading edge

    Turtles again when HFT is the main theme? Are you going to rise a horse to go from NY to LA?
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    Monte Carlo Simulation - Correct Assessment?

    No alternative. MC in trading is useless. Ask those who were doing mean reversion during the 2008 crash. Try to find them in their farms in Oregon. They also relied on stuff like MC simulation. For example MC simulation destroys auto-correlation. The results are misleading.
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    Mathematics of Betting: Odds vs Probability vs RRR

    "Soros has often claimed that his grasp of the principle of reflexivity is what has given him his "edge"" Posteriori it cannot be accepted. he is looking for justification of his luck or trading boldness. he could have gone broke as well like many other have. He was just lucky.
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    1% risk clarification

    Here is an article on fixed fractional risk. 5K is not much but if you have an edge in scalping you can make it but this is very hard. IMO 20K for futures and 30K for stocks is minimum to start with so you can do swing or position trading.
  10. S

    Question about Turtle Trading -

    Turtles vs. HFT hahhahahahaha Merry Christmas,
  11. S

    Holy grail: Risk diversification?

    I wish it was the only issue. I think the main issue is ignorance of the microstructure of markets. In forex the microstructure is by design so it benefits market makers only with odds in favor of speculators less than those of casinos. I always recommend reading this article and rethinking...
  12. S

    revive ET ?

    Flamers made boards die. They achieved their objective. Maybe on purpose? Nobody is going to put up with one or two days of flaming. For what? Now the flamers are also gone looking for next target.
  13. S

    alternative to SPY

    Anyway you do it they will get you at the end. Same sharks that move SPY also move ES through arbitrage. When they have get enough speculators in either direction they increase volatility and shake them out.
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    Real Selloff?

    December is the best month by far so the odds are for a rally by year's end.
  15. S

    Looking for quantitative analysis site

    Backtesting online is ta proliferated service now. I expect to get paid soon to visit websites so they can get my inputs.
  16. S

    Max position size - Swing trading stocks

    For stop, stop limit is dangerous. it's like having no stop at certain times.
  17. S

    Why are oil prices so low?

    Oil prices are low to avert another financial crisis.
  18. S

    Has this place died?

    They do not care if they lose their $100 trading microlots. :)
  19. S

    How do you manage gap risk on your overnight stock positions?

    You cannot manage the risk other than hedging with options.
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