Search results

  1. Sergio123

    What are the most valuable lessons you have learned?

    Good for them....Being a small fish that swims under the radar has its advantages. You aren't a liquidity trap as long as you don't go where the too many of the other small fish go. There have been many times when the clock was ticking and I was sweating bullets because the bill was about to...
  2. Sergio123

    What do you think matters most in trading?

    Psychology and mindset, and Risk Management. The markets are not always clean and orderly. It can be very chaotic and you can't let that get to you.
  3. Sergio123

    Which currency do you think will outperform?

    I don't think so....It would all start breaking together. What would the CIA offer to Saudi revolutionaries exactly? If they already have Riyals and oil and BRICS, then what would they need dollars for?
  4. Sergio123

    SMA is my favorite

    Bro, The SMA is the shit. The MACD oscillator built from SMAs crossed over in Oversold. I might cash in some delta's but I might not do anything and just wait for a substantial pullback and add more deltas. The SMA will be the guide. Someday you might understand the true power of the SMA.
  5. Sergio123

    Ackman Says He's Short 30-Year Treasuries as Supply Ramps Up

    I've been shorting since late 2020. Bond traders kept saying the Fed is going to pivot by the summer of 2023. I didn't believe them.
  6. Sergio123

    USA credit downgrade.

    It wasn't the Treasury. There is more than one entity that feels that the yield curve should correct.
  7. Sergio123

    SMA is my favorite

    What are you talking about? I am putting on a long swing trade in realtime just using the SMA and an oscillator that just uses the SMA. Watch and learn. We came out of Oversold and it's cruising now. I am not sure that I would chase it here although I think it's in a fresh new bull market. The...
  8. Sergio123

    SMA is my favorite

    I am more of an options trader. I am really just making daily delta adjustments.
  9. Sergio123

    SMA is my favorite

    These are not my actual entries. It's the dynamic re-painting of the buy and sell signals of the strategy. The charts are on different timeframes.. I don't trade every signal. My sell/take profit target is up there.
  10. Sergio123

    USA credit downgrade.

    You never have all of the evidence and perfect information. It's what speculation and trading is all about.
  11. Sergio123

    USA credit downgrade.

    I have no doubts that this was well timed operation to be in conjunction with the Treasury selling 102 Billion dollars of Treasuries. Maybe an operation to short stocks and get those T-Bill yields up there simultaneously.
  12. Sergio123

    Which currency do you think will outperform?

    Good analysis, but once they get Saudi Arabia and other OPEC producing countries to accept BRICS then it's basically checkmate.
  13. Sergio123

    amd earning play after hour tonight....

    Alot of big earnings plays today. I am predicting it turns the market around after the credit downgrade.
  14. Sergio123

    What are the most valuable lessons you have learned?

    Yesterday was even nastier than July 20th. It's one thing to know all about options theory, and another thing to keep a level head and execute your strategy under pain and pressure. You are at a major disadvantage if you don't know how to roll and make smart adjustments and most importantly be...
  15. Sergio123

    Which currency do you think will outperform?

    Probably the BRICS currency. As it will probably start to slowly replace the dollar as the World's Reserve Currency for large swaths of the global population.
  16. Sergio123

    SMA is my favorite

    It works about the same...It did a double pullback to around $78.60. Then the hourly Stochastic MACD did a crossover and came out of oversold on 7/26 at 2pm. Today (like everything else) it did another pullback to around $79 and the hourly Stochastic MACD looks like it is going to do another...
  17. Sergio123

    Predicting Tomorrow's Price

    Yes. Thats why 75% accuracy becomes statistically significant. If you just said that the market was moving higher everyday then you would be correct 53% of the time.
  18. Sergio123

    SMA is my favorite

    I am using this 12 SMA monthly candle strategy to play Oil now. It broke through on 7/25 @ 1030 AM. Right now we are at a $78 stop loss. Lets see how well it goes.
  19. Sergio123

    SMA is my favorite

    I am not going to do the expectancy calculation work for you for free. I am just an individual trader. I am not trying to sell anyone anything. This was just for research and discussion purposes. But everything I am seeing shows me that it gives you some small losses during choppiness but keeps...
  20. Sergio123

    Talk me out of averaging up!

    I don't care what you do..... But it looks like its a Go to me. $78 Stop Loss. $110 target.
Back
Top