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  1. K

    The ACD Method

    there was a good article in Barron's on this. Not the original article but gives an idea of what's going on over there. The etf TAN had a big stake in this stock looks like they dumped it. http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/566:HK (trading suspended lol)...
  2. K

    The ACD Method

    I meant to point this out yesterday...vvix or vol of vol so to speak, this chart is from last October which was a quick brutal sell off , vol itself spiked to 31. Interestingly, the vol spikes and reverses intraday, no one knows exactly when that will be. If greece leaves the Euro that spike may...
  3. K

    The ACD Method

    long here into the open....good times..:) stopped
  4. K

    The ACD Method

    Greek crisis solution, thanks Sonny!
  5. K

    The ACD Method

    ok point taken..:cool:
  6. K

    The ACD Method

    what's wrong with this picture. see attached.
  7. K

    The ACD Method

    big moves today all around eurl down 6%, oil getting hammered China, Greece/Euro, Oil pick one. By the way tried to pm you.
  8. K

    The ACD Method

    what's interesting is color coding, so red is a lucky color in china, here we say "see red" which is a negative in accounting statements. When your screen is red that means your losing money usually, would be interesting to see what colors their trading screens are. So is yinn bullish and yang...
  9. K

    The ACD Method

    YINN Daily China Bull 3x Shares $43.38 -2.21% $179,577.00 450,684 21.31% YANG Daily China Bear 3x Shares $68.57 2.40% $45,673.80 164,491 -39.80%
  10. K

    The ACD Method

    so I will throw out this, from Finviz accessible to all. under bubbles you can set your x and y axis to look at all sorts of metrics, who has the best 6 month performance, forward pe vs market cap, etc. This allows you look at some basic market metrics and find outliers at a glance. screenshot...
  11. K

    Random

    http://money.cnn.com/2015/06/30/technology/leap-second/
  12. K

    The ACD Method

    Mav's post from the other day: 1) Markets do NOT seek risk. Markets are risk averse. In economics a great deal of studying has gone into risk aversion theory (google it). One of the subsets of this theory is something known as "prospect theory". This theory states that if I offer the avg person...
  13. K

    The ACD Method

    ok lets take a look at FIT ipo of fitbit. The stock just started trading and options just started traded so how do you know what the volatility is? simple the market gives it you. It is an input into the price of an option. I think a lot of the confusion regarding randomness is overstated. FIT...
  14. K

    The ACD Method

    I would just stick with the concept of volatility. ok the rest of your questions, mmmm there are libraries filled with this topic. Markets are priced on what is commonly called "random walk" we don't really know if stock x is going up or down, hence the random walk or price movement. When I get...
  15. K

    The ACD Method

    regarding the first part not exactly sure how to make this less confusing, there some advanced concepts such as variance thrown in. Variance is different from volatility which is another can of worms. I think what he is saying is that variance is the idea that stocks move around. Looking at a...
  16. K

    The ACD Method

    nice to see you back Mav, unless you are posting this from lower Wacker Drive, what are your thoughts on this grexit, its a meandering situation which is creating some vol around the euro stock indexes, is there any data on probability of an exit?
  17. K

    Random

    zig zag theory
  18. K

    Does Probability exist?

    the premise is a wind up, does it help to know the odds, maybe, sometimes,.....
  19. K

    Does Probability exist?

    Does _________ exist?
  20. K

    Quit prop firm after server side technology issues with API cost me my year; advice on non compete

    "the rest I blew all that like a mouth breather buying a new Porsche and other crap that supported my newly developed thesis that I was the man" too funny, thanks for that....hua!!:)
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