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if i remember well you can switch this warning off in Config-->Misc... you have bad taste :)

I hate the new look - like for small kids... I'd love to see IB TWS to stay as "raw" as possible. FX trader is great though....

what a great day today with EDs down 10bps+ and indirect bid for 10yr in almost single digits. Let's see what Friday brings - I believe Core at +0.3% MoM is a real possibility. Industrial Production number may spoil it though...

why do you quote yourself?

agree - 600bps cut.

they may still squeeze few cuts during Christmas time - stay tuned...

A. Most of the economists are changing prediction about rates like a weather coat - there are about 2 that don't - so I do not see a value in that statement C. that's quite a good nonsense again - at least your posts are becoming shorter. I do not see why there should be recession but even if...

fed funds work easy - basically very similar to EuroDollars. the product settles at 1 minus FF at the end of the expiry month. FF is effective fed fund rate maintained by the federal reserve (usually very close to the target). Similarly to ED they consistently underestimate the possibility of...

true - my bet would be "against" again. nothing changed to change his opinion....(low rates, high PCE/CPI etc.)

I am pretty sure of one thing - this is going to be the most boring meeting in some time. The statement will be an exact copy from October. Bonds will neither sell off (because they already did) nor immediately rally (because of CPI on Friday)...

fine today - not short bonds anymore - moved everything to fed funds some time ago...

good for you.

I do trade bonds a lot - and I used the same arguments in July... That's why I was giving him a warning....

LOL

good luck - you entered the most rational position that behaves the most irrationally for the longest time :)

I listened to the speech and he was far from being objective. He completely ignore the liquidity situation and the fact that the slowdown is only in housing and autos. For instance he said "we had terrible data recently" - well show them to me say I. He completely ignored elevated inflation...

hohoho... that's why they assign AAA to 15x leveraged notes (CPDOs).

well what I meant is if you want to trade EURGBP why would not you trade it via EURUSD and GBPUSD...?

BID=ASK......................... interesting is that EURUSD and GBPUSD are both offered at 0 pips spread while EURGBP is offered at 3 pips spread...............

What did usually win your time? Your POS or fire/heart attack.