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:D MANAMANAH DOOT DOOT DOO DOO DOO!!

ROTFLMAO!!:D :D :D

You are vastly oversimplfying here. Options as well as futures have expiration dates which makes timing on directional bets , long or short, important. Time decay can work against you which is how most new option traders lose money per time decay on the buy side. Again I am simplifying, make...

What is your expectation for the next year in the housing market in your area?

:confused:

LOL, I disagree but I know what you are saying. Don Trump says in his book says he only started with $200,000 back in the 60's. That must be like $3,000,000 in today's fiat. Not to segueway but is his daughter hot or what? Wow!!

When I read this the other day I couldn't remember the thread you may want to read this, at least the first 20-30 pages; practical and pertinent discussion of risk and reward in trading albeit options. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=53037&perpage=6&pagenumber=1

you should check out their web forum; if you can think of it, it can be coded. there are some presets on easy language and some ready made strategies. pm me if you need more info.

Agreed risk free rate is like 5%, pension funds want a safe 7% or 8%, ask joe sixpack with three kids how much a trip to Disneyworld goes up each year. Don't ask about school/medical costs as he may get violent!!

good point, there are abnormal range expansions every day on the exchanges. Predicting them is not easy or there would be some awfully rich traders. Does it make sense to buy a lottery ticket (deep out of the money strikes) given the enormous potential payout?

"Nassim then jumped into the issue of retrospective distortion — using the recent Virginia Tech shootings as fodder for his idea. By retrospective distortion he meant the way humans tend to evaluate and make sense of matters after the fact, constructing an orderly event in hindsight. " I...

His philosophy is interesting regardless of his alleged trading abilities. :cool: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nassim_Nicholas_Taleb

I think the youtube angle is interesting. Looks like he is already in business; another way to skin a cat so to speak. So far so free, better than some of the other retards on this site posing as master traders. :p

GS.

Say what you want you gotta like this guy's enthusiasm!:p He probably wants your poker money!!

This is a fairly bearish report to say the least. Thanks for the info. Big gap on the daily at $12.00 looks like it may be filled.

wish I could attend, please take notes for us ET'rs. :)

You may want to poke around some of other discussions on this site. I think you need to think about what your positive expectancy for your system is. Two issues, if you trade with lots of potential drawdown, ie futures, you should expect much upside as well. (sharpe ratio) What is your risk of...

Why is this video so f**kin funny, because all traders have been there. Did you ever buy when you meant to sell, or put on a futures contract without a stop only to watch it plunge 2-3 handles. I know the first words out of my mouth are f**k, f**k, f**k, multipy this by all the bad fills...

looks like you may be right. Nice gap fill.