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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    At least my post wasn't intentionally obscure. What, exactly, is unclear to you?
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    The tide moves about a constant level. Not so with market prices.
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    Well stated. I would be specific: Future price action can't be predicted solely from past price action using standard methods. This phraseology addresses why such a large majority of traders fail.
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    Another argument for not attempting to follow imaginary trends.
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    Number three could be true if you believe number one and continue to trade.
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    If price action after a given point in time can be predicted using standard methods based on price action beforehand, then, according to efficiency theory, it won't happen.
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    Going public with a system ruins it?

    There's no inconsistency there. Mine describes the conditions (more competition). Yours describes the result (uselessness of the system).
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    Going public with a system ruins it?

    Thank you for being logical. To put it another way: If every trader's market data is the same, for a given system Input (market data) .... System (processing of data) .... Output ("buy", "sell", etc.), use by more traders will lead to more traders attempting to execute the same trade at...
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    Trend is the imaginary friend of many.
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    Without change, even money can be boring.
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    There will always be people of the right side of any "trend" by random distribution. The point is to reliably predict the trend before it happens, which is what so very few people do. And none of them does it reliably using standard methods, which they soon find out.
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    The trend that takes place before position entry is not where the money is made. Whatever price trend is going to follow position entry is not usefully predictable based on price trend before that point, using any standard method. If it was, efficiency theory says that the difference...
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    Trend is determined within a timeframe between beginning and ending points. Regarding the P/L of a trade, these two points are 1) position entry and 2) position exit. The trend between them is what counts. Any previous or following trends are only worth looking at insofar as they can be...
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    Predicting the direction of price, with or against whatever trend is actually there or not, is most of what the trading game is all about. The sweet spot is a good thing.
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    Why Can't I Trade with the Trend

    It's not enough to know that there has been a trend, without knowing to what extent, if at all, the trend will continue.
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    Can money management alone create any edge?

    Without an edge, the market can't be a source of appreciation.
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    Let us now hear from the Creationists

    Y'all come back now, ya hear?
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    Let us now hear from the Creationists

    I'm beside myself with anticipation.
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    Let us now hear from the Creationists

    I haven't read the discussion to which you refer.
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    Let us now hear from the Creationists

    Where have you demonstrated that the changes that occurred in the cited experiment are otherwise than the result of the loss of genetic information? Meanwhile, "Unmet Condition of Evolution #1: A modification, beyond the mere loss of information due to mutation, in the genetic composition...
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