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  1. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    I agree, legging into the spread will cause additional risks, which may not be necessary for the success of this strategy... Walt
  2. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    I'm looking for the IV to increase, as I selected options with a lower HV than IV. The bigger issue is theta working in my favor. I may consider Dan Sheridan's "guerrilla" strategy, as theta is the only cause for a quick profit. Walt
  3. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    I believe the volatility crush after earnings sometimes provide an ideal circumstance for entering the calendar spread. This would increase the vega probability in your favor. Of course, one may average-in on calendar spreads if the IV continues to go lower. Dan Sheridan, one of the most...
  4. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    I can't argue with the fact that a ratio calendar spread would favorably impact gamma... I'll certainly try to get a better grasp on the risk/reward probability impact of your suggestion. I guess that I'm banking on the favorability of the vega & theta impact. I'm not terribly concerned...
  5. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    Your point on vega impact is well taken; however, I'm afraid of losing my delta neutrality, although I can hedge it against buying/selling the underlying. Since I'm doing a call & a put calendar spread (strangle swap), it could become very complicated/expensive to continually adjusting my...
  6. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    Hi Div Arb, I intend to dynamically hedge and close the spread once my profit thresholds are met. I'm considering a leg-in/average-in method for getting better spreads, but I've yet to test it. I use various IV/HV analysis tools (OptionsXpress & IB) to assess appropriately low IV...
  7. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    Blackjack & dmo, Thanks for your input... regarding blackjack's concern about an increase in IV, I think dmo addressed it perfectly. This strategy absolutely wants/needs the IV to rise. That's why a key condition to the trade is to enter the spread with a low IV in effect. dmo, I...
  8. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    Hi OddTrader, Please be reminded that the returns I mentioned were Returns on Investment, not Returns on Assets. Also, the 20% - 40% per month is after the incubation period of about 3 - 4 months, and it would be against the margin invested. Walt
  9. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    I'm sorry cdowis, But I don't think adding vertical calls ITM would benefit this strategy. Although it may bring in more profits, it also provides more risk. Walt
  10. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    Thanks IV Trader, any thoughts or warnings... Walt
  11. J

    Low Risk/High Reward (60%+ per Year) Calendar Spread

    I must admit that I feel a little selfish, but I'm compelled to share my strategy for the following three reasons: (1) I've benefited from some of the information that others have shared on this forum, therefore, in return I should "give back"; (2) The Lord Himself stated that "it is better to...
  12. J

    Calendar Spread prior to earnings

    Perhaps I should start a new thread dedicated to long term or leap calendar spreads. Given that this could provide a 60% ROI, I'm surprised there aren't more contributors to this idea... Walt
  13. J

    Calendar Spread prior to earnings

    Hi Steve, thanks for responding; however, I'm not planning on a diagonal calendar spread, but a horizontal calendar spread - long term or leap (i.e. Dec & Jan expiration dates). Depending on the pricing, I may enter a front month as little as 3 - 4 months away, especilly if the IV is much...
  14. J

    Calendar Spread prior to earnings

    Thanks, I was only familiar with HV... any thoughts on the long term or leap calendar spread concept??? As much as ET is renown for constructive criticism, I'm surprised that nothing negative or any words of caution were offered... I guess the long term calendar spread must be a pure...
  15. J

    Calendar Spread prior to earnings

    Thanks for your response IV Trader, What are your thoughts on the concept of long term or leap calendar spreads? For example, selling a Dec 08 call ATM and buying a Jan 09 call ATM; as well as selling a Dec 08 put ATM and buying a Jan 09 put ATM. Am I missing something other than bid/ask...
  16. J

    Calendar Spread prior to earnings

    thanks Steve... Have you entered into leap or long term calendar spreads before? Looking at the theta impact of how the spreads diverge over a few months, I'm suprised that not many people are discussing it... Walt
  17. J

    Calendar Spread prior to earnings

    leap or long term calendar spreads anyone??? Also, your views on entering a reverse calendar strangle swap on high IV stocks right before earnings, with a near term expiration??? Thanks, Walt
  18. J

    Calendar Spread prior to earnings

    Does anyone have experience with leap or long term calendar spreads? The only drawbacks I observed was the reduced liquidity and the bid/ask spread. Nonetheless the diverange cause by the Theta can be very profitable. Specificially, I'm planning on entering a calendar spread about 6 months...
  19. J

    IB API Programmers

    thanks for the advise guys... Walt
  20. J

    Andy's Spread Trading Journal

    I'm sorry Andy, but I don't have the details any longer, but it was a crude oil spread between June & August. However, hopefully you can help from a conceptual point of view. How do you manage a spread that goes from contango to backwardation, or visa versa, when you've already entered your...
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