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You are definitely a luminary, no doubt about it. Ever heard of the fisher effect? You must earn the same amount of interest abroad on a risk free asset as you earn at home. Otherwise, you would get what we call arbitrage. Hence, when Buffet buys Euros, he doesn't see an arbitrage opportunity...

Candle, being net short of an option (creditor) does not mean you are going down hard with a black swan event, if you are completely naked short, that can be a different story. Selling options naked, as in a situation where you may get unlimited losses for a little profit is for the addicted...

That is incorrect. Inflation initially leads to a rapid depreciation of a currency. If inflation is in check and real interest rates remain the same or higher, then one can say that the dollar will get stronger. That is very rarely the case because inflation LEADS interest rates, hence if...

that's what you forgot ??? DAYTRADERS.ORG ?? Could it be any simpler to remember...What a waste of space.

China is a castle of cards right now. Any minor shock could send it spiralling down. Economic regulations are very dodgy whether they apply to bank loans or stocks and bonds. Credibility in the system is very weak, hence the problem that the government is facing. They cannot risk anything...

financialchat.com

The carry trade is over soon. I wouldn't venture into it. You need a lot of money to make a significant amount of money off of the spread between the financing and the carry cost.

Anyone wanna hear some SAC stories?

I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say ER knows NV, cause he sure as hell doesnt know Buffet.

"Survivorship Bias" has always been the name of this game, it is hard to accept it but the dough seems to be flowing to a select number of individuals.

Come on Surfer, the guy is a gambler, have you read his books ? Would you give this guy any of your money to invest? Ask his children if they would. Has no conception of risk and has a real problem taking losses.

Correction. Niederhoffer is a joke. Anyone comparing Niederhoffer ("Down with hope" litterally) to Buffett is the true joker.

A "descent" opening !

Did you see the Reuters/Bloomberg terminals at the same time? Sometimes Reuters is quicker than Bloomberg.

You got that right ;) Always remember that SAC is a fund of fund with many PMs that have different trading strategies, and invest in a broad range of products.

Come on... Also, was looking at the euro at that time and it didn't seem to have any suspicious activity, at time of bloomberg release, so if anything you guys might want to do is adjust your watch to reflect Actual time. Insider timers are no idiots they don't just pile up contracts for...

The most hardcore on Wall Street.

I agree with all of your comments. Having lived in France for a very long time and visiting twice a year at least, I can only say that anti semitism is at best "average". A year ago, I was actually flying to France from Newark but missed my flight so had to go to JFK. I took a cab from...

Instantaneous usually.

oué brother; mais chui pas a paris la; t ou a Paris? Neuilly? t t pas sur IRC avant?