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classical "trading spreads and seasonals" by Joe Ross there is a little bit about seasonality in "The Complete Guide to Option Selling". Also this thread and site (but they are in russian, i don't know how easy it would be to read ii using google translate) http://profitseasons.ru/...

I don't think many farmers have multi-compartment grain storages and blending facilities. Elevator discounts are highest at harvest, then they decrease. Maybe it would be reasonable to sell it later this MY, i don't know. And what the problem with vomitoxin? 2015 average is 2.2 like previous...

"The soft red winter wheat crop, the type traded in Chicago, was, unusually, graded 3 overall – below the level needed to meet delivery against futures, without discounts." So, one can deliver his bad wheat, but he will get paid less

let's recover the topic. NG X-F We are near good resistance, bearish seasonality is starting, although i dont know fundamental reasons. I will consider short near -0.240

maybe you should try a trial?

one more interesting statistical entry LEV15-2*LEZ15+LEG16 seasonality is up we are near lows

yep, but keep in mind it's kinda high and one clever guy thinks spread can still visit 3.500

bought he v-z. but It's kinda high comparing with other years

kinda interesting statistic on lumber:

i think it's better to sell some spread, than to try buying @ bottom

kinda good notice, i don't know what to say

Maybe a good short term idea. That was written 5 days ago "Look for a spot to bull spread Sept/Dec meal next week after open interest from the Sept options comes off. Buy a break into the 7.00 to 9.00 area on Sept/Dec or buy the Sept/Oct/Dec butterfly around 3.50." Don't understand the reasons...

Going to buy mwz-h (@-17.00) Seasonality is up for september (although it didnt work good for hrs and hrw lately). Harvest progress is ahead of 5-year average. It looks like seasonal move starts often after harvest is near 80% complete, so it's the time also we are near historical lows...

I looked at them one time. But what the point? For cotton you can look at weekly crop progress. Maybe it would be useful for non-us commodities

Kinda interesting article about profitable investing strategy, based on calendar spreads And some interesting excerptions: "As we detail in Section 3 the rebalancing process is carried out using calendar spreads. This becomes particularly obvious when comparing the amount of noncommercial...

Found on twitter "So if this corn crop's about the same maturity as '14, bit lower g/e, & little lower yield what's w/ all the brown?" most producing states

kinda funny, how this BF follows seasonals

speaking about exports you can see the decline of hrw export is bigger. So demand is lower. Unfortunately, i've thought 'bout that after i've got stopped out again.

Maybe coz of tighter srw supply and lower wheat export because of higher price (hrw export is near 45% of production, srw is near 30%, so drop of export impacts on kansas more)

why? and do you know some source of seasonal charts for European commodities?