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I know, I know but with this low volatility march higher I was bored. Thanks for reminding me of my stupidity. So does QE end at QE? That's the conundrum.

We're nearing a top. Previously the news re: portugal today would have spooked the bejesus out the market now just a blip down and then people looking around saying wow no selling. I'm thinking this rally is cooked soon but after scrubbing my shorts umpteen times for a profit of $10 I'm gonna...

My health insurance personally was just raised by at least 10k a year. Welcome to socialism. :(

The 1150 stops are gonna get tagged in the morning.

From CXOAG Investing Notes---thank you--- End-of-Quarter Effect ...evidence suggests some systematic strength the first few days after ends of quarters bracketed by weakness or doldrums before and after, with effects small compared to daily return variability. The fourth quarter pattern is...

If I may be so bold as to sum up your treatise: Zero sum game: Winners and Losers Two types: Gracious and Ungracious You: Un

Ouch!!! Shortie has great threads and who's to say he's not making money?

I agree. The market has been ignoring everything to rally. Timing is good for a pullback at least to the 200d ma I would think. When I look at price graphs most major inflection points seem to correspond to events. Often times FED actions. India's central bank unexpectedly hikes key...

Now clearly news trumps everything which is why perhaps eod, eom, eoq, eoy gets lost in the "noise" of the market gyrations. http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2009/03/03/2009-03-03_obama_says_buy_stocks_now_good_deals_the.html Here was the gift from the FED...

The primes and FED flashed gang signs and my limited understanding of the communication was all clear til 4/19 That's my gestalt as an outsider playing a rigged game. Up/down next week then up into Mid-April. Then watchout although I still think the sell-off will be contained into July...

Man if I didn't take a dump in 4 days I'd be in serious pain.....

All commodities are selling off, dollar up and EURO sovereign debt unresolved. The banter from the paid for talking head is buy, buy, buy we're going to 1200 or 1300 at least. This is a melt-up. Too much money sitting on the sidelines and no where to go. Chasing long in nosebleed...

OK!!! So now we have this swirl induced by rollovers, business quarter reporting, taxes, and monthly/quarterly, yearly cashflows. Can one obtain directional clues about price by looking at options/futures volume rolling? Assume call options or futures roll less is there any meat in...

I am studying the SP500 weekly and what I'm finding is that at the end of quarters what appear to be important zones for trend changes. I agree that you can't say on this date but it makes sense in that businesses and even the govt will often make decisions which could have market implications...

I've been looking at this end of quarter business and cycle wise I think many on this board are up to something. End of the quarter signals "a window" of probable change in trend. When I boot up a weekly chart and look at the end of March, June, Sept. and of course Dec 31st these have all been...

How do quarters affect equitiy pricing? I would like to start discussion for learning purposes as to how the business quarters can affect equity and commodity pricing. I will add as much as possible however will defer to any and all that know more. I study cycles and thus the interest.

Thanks.

Fixed it. Now shorts are afraid. So the market will do the Nov 09 - Jan 10 sideways low vol shuffle with 0.2 % and 0.4% selloffs. Once the market gets conditioned to these and stops making upward motion, thne with some news we can sell-off. Sell-offs are good. In fact had the FED been...

This level of intervention is historic and also why investing is tricky as the one constant is change. Admittedly the flaw in my analysis has been the level of comitment by the FED to prop up this ailing economy.

Hmmmmmmmm. 95% fail so does that mean those that succeed make 20:1?