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  1. L

    Key reversal

    CSCO news may break support to the downside. This market is levitating on fumes right now....... Must....transfer....more......wealth....before....we.....take.....the.....ship.....down.......STOP Will.......see.....you....in....October.........STOP...
  2. L

    Key reversal

    A month later and.... Grpn still kicking ass. Grek bottomed the day of the note. SP500 made new high (oops) but selling the new highs may payoff come end of earnings season. PE expansion can continue but this is wholly FED related and taper talk isn't going away. FED is trapped as...
  3. L

    Duel ISP

    FYI. Best solution is two boxes with two routers and two separate everything including accounts. You can make one a dual-wan but the other should be used to hedge if/when things go awry. Here's how it works. Everything's quiet. You go take a dump. While pinching the loaf power...
  4. L

    Key reversal

    Ummh, Japanese Stocks down 500 Points since my sell post.....
  5. L

    Key reversal

    If you're long stop and reverse. If you're flat short.
  6. L

    Key reversal

    FYI sell tomorrow. Rebuy in 1-3 months depending on when correction takes hold.
  7. L

    Be aware, we will have test the high by the end of June or in the early of July

    Revised low for summer may be higher than the anticipated 1450. More like 1520. This type of volatility is usually seen at bottoms not tops which is why the market made another run up on low volatility to new highs. BUT another run down over the summer/fall then ramp-a-thon into 2014 as no...
  8. L

    Key reversal

    What is clear is that earnings don't matter. The FED matters and we tacked back to 1650 in response to what is viewed as less "tapering talk."
  9. L

    Key reversal

    Tilt got it right. I may pop up from time to time. Alcoa beat sheesh. Ok sure.
  10. L

    Key reversal

    I lost today. I hate it. Not a big loss but a stupid loss. After thorough examination I'm laughing because it was a needed bitchslap which keeps me on my toes and I'll work my way into a wash or small win. PHUUUUUUCK. I'm going dark. See you all in 6 months
  11. L

    Key reversal

    EU-IMF panel issued a statement saying Greece has made important progress but remains behind in some areas of policy implementation. European markets rallied on a sign suggesting the next tranche of Greek aid will be approved without issues while ignoring disappointing industrial production data...
  12. L

    Europe strikes deal to push cost of bank failure on investors

    Thank you for the explanation. This has been an enlightening thread.
  13. L

    Europe strikes deal to push cost of bank failure on investors

    I thought swaptions were OTC? You mentioned more chetter re: central counterparty clearing. I'd like to hear more because I think the threat of a G7 currency blow-up is not out of the question in the not too distant future. The business cycle management by the CB's of the last 20 years is...
  14. L

    Key reversal

    Identifying an asymmetrical opportunity is an "edge" That's why Mandelbrot's work is so fascinating. Not a bell shaped curve thus asymmetric opportunities also carry the risk of blow-out. The next question is how to mitigate this risk. I am unsure as a retail snail how to hedge GREK without...
  15. L

    Key reversal

    I received a Q: GREK? Yes. An asymmetrical opportunity although with a painfully long horizon.
  16. L

    Key reversal

    I do not trust today's close. To easy to knock it one way or the other. Holiday, short covering, low volume affair. Out. See you Friday or Monday....... A couple updates GRPN is kicking ass. Add another possible long to the list. GREK. Allow some event risk but worth monitoring...
  17. L

    Key reversal

    Squash zone----50day ma and rising low. Back filling. Time price still has Ammo's target in sight 1630ish in sp500 which could coincide with a sell-off mid-month thereafter then down to 1570ish. Alot of zig zagging in between unless a macroevent occurs. The arab spring could be a trigger...
  18. L

    Key reversal

    As convoluted as this thread has become interestingly the short term low may indeed materialize this week on July 5th or monday the 8th. Freaking cyclotron model is surprisingly good. Having said that the Market's current edge is trading the outer edge of short term probability. If that...
  19. L

    What's the deal with the futures always drifting higher?

    today had a historical up bias of 80% If I remember correctly Day after the 4th bombs out. Typically Tuesday sare up and pre-holiday is up although the 4th of July is punky. Having said that news trumps everything and looking at Egypt well who knows. The markets are fun. Clearly the...
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