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  1. U

    Goldman Sachs & JPMorgan quants keep leaving for crypto

    it's astonishing to see that so many people even here on elite trader use the blanket term "crypto" for everything going on in DeFi. The quants etc from major banks and tech firms are not leaving to go mine bitcoin. they are joining exciting DeFi projects that without exaggeration have the...
  2. U

    GBA Presents: THE BARE ESSENTIALS

    shortin shorting DWAC here is like shorting TSLA in 2018 -- too obvious. when even Meemaw is short, the bottom's in.
  3. U

    Trading a Bear Market Crash: newbs are fkd, Why don't talking heads help?

    i know it as- “the highway to hell is paved with good intentions” always liked that and also; “no good deed goes unpunished” In theory i know how to hedge with put options— in practice, it’s never enough and timing is difficult. as a rule, i never suggest trades to anyone. Buy-hold-forget...
  4. U

    Is it possible to time the market?

    I think it’s possible but requires superhuman patience and an understanding of the length of life that is nearly impossible for us to comprehend. For mere mortals, a few lucky guesses can make a huge difference— and dollar-cost-averaging.
  5. U

    GBA Presents: THE GREEN MARKET

    nationalizing copper mines... this thread pointed me in the direction of this trade. options on copper futures are priced using black-scholes which doesn't take into consideration that nickel, oil, gold, etc, are ramping higher day after day... russia is the 8th largest producer of copper, mind...
  6. U

    GBA Presents: THE GREEN MARKET

    i like solar. fslr is in my buy-hold-forget portfolio
  7. U

    Maintenance margin for each position

    i've been trading options quite a bit and looked up and saw that i suddenly have a margin maintenance in IB. not a lot, but curious since I don't have a margin account. Question: where can i find which position is responsible for the maintenance? Thanks!!
  8. U

    Edge: Should it work on them all

    how are you trading copper? futures? HG options?
  9. U

    GBA Presents: THE GREEN MARKET

    maybe i follow this thread too closely---let me get this straight. you hear that a beautiful jewelry model is coming over, so naturally you put on tight blue pants and a fancy swiss watch at which point your wife rolls her eyes. you make a clumsy handshake and note the super-soft touch of said...
  10. U

    Gonna be ugly tomorrow

    why are you not bullish on copper? i get the impression somethings going on
  11. U

    GBA Presents: THE GREEN MARKET

    thanks for the news! can i ask where you found it so quickly? it clearly moved the market and yet i couldn't find it... i've found a reuters link by now
  12. U

    Conditions for Peace

    i was actively searching out this information when it was mentioned in a thread here on ET -- should be the lead on every news channel -but was no where to be found. are the terms so completely out of the question???
  13. U

    Copper?

    top is in? stagflation trade starting?
  14. U

    Gonna be ugly tomorrow

    the charts are uncannily similar. if it plays out similarly, $190 seems possible before a crash back to $75... edit: albeit clearly on a different timescale. everything plays out faster in the exponential age.
  15. U

    Gonna be ugly tomorrow

    where are we today??
  16. U

    Russian default would create havoc on emerging markets and china

    ...which would create havoc everywhere else.
  17. U

    GBA Presents: THE GREEN MARKET

    I don’t think anyone is pricing in a return to deep sea drilling—- i was in sdrl back in the day, a $200 stock with an 8-9% yield. I was thinking of long dated calls on off-shore drillers on Thursday-Friday. Would have been a good trade. Could still be. Is there enough oil? edit: 200 NOK
  18. U

    GBA Presents: THE GREEN MARKET

    a brain tumor would explain a lot.
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