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are you sure reserves are part of M2?

Agree. Brzenk had a ton of class, classic Mid-West nice, but almost superhuman on the table...

Devon's a real ambassador for the sport. Amazing competitor.

Levan is a beast... probably stronger than Cyplen. Wonder how we would have fared against Brzenk at his peak (G.O.A.T in my book). :fistbump:

I watched a few of his videos. I can't say for sure 100%, but I think he's a real trader. There's another but though. From what I can gather, the bulk of his gains come from about 1 trade in 20. And he is significantly at risk on that 1 trade with size (5,000 shares or more as a retail...

I guess it's Eurodollars then? More representative of global liquidity risk than EONIA?

Bone, Since SOFR is a secured rate and supposed to replace LIBOR which was unsecured, is there any good measure of interbank risk outside of the Eurodollar curve?

What does this mean for futures trading commissions?

Good luck! Any implications for equities?

So what are the dynamics of poker about? Winning the most hands?

Hi Scat, So would you say that the concept of maximizing the size of one's wins and minimizing the size of one's losses does not transfer to trading/day-trading?

US: Hey you stole my laptop, give it back to me China: F&*^ a-you. You can't compete now you call me thief! You loser! :banghead:

You can use the "snipping tool" if you're on a PC with windows, really easy.

Can you post a chart of your trades? Would help situate.

Yeah sure, basically more signals per timeframe traded allows for a smoother ride to the trading method's expected value. That's one of the things Ed Thorpe mentioned once, that when he was at the blackjack table it was easier for him to manage a big drawdown (he was down $1700 on a $2500...

Often overlooked is the key role that trade frequency plays right? If one's method is low-output in terms of the # of signals, it's much harder to deal with the equity curve while waiting for the average/expectation to bear out. Think Ed Thorpe at the blackjack table...

I like your angle on things, Amahrix, re staying statistically passive. As you pointed out, uncertainty is always there, both on the payoff and win ratio, so the best one can do is manage outcomes intelligently. Reducing size if/when the win ratio takes a hit is one way to buy some time to...

Oh duh, wasn't thinking about the chart. Right, you've got a steady uptrend in your equity curve, that's pretty impressive. How many trades do you per day? I think you could do well going full-time, the question is can you handle the pressure of larger size.

you've done well Bluejack. You trading intraday? I would say a lot depends on your style. Did most of your profit come from < 20% of your trades? Or do you go for a lot of base hits?

see the general's comments here.... The attack on Iran will be successful. It's what could possibly follow that is being under-estimated and ominous