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So that's a no. It was not because of Evergrande, which you claimed would absolutely have global implications. After hiding out after you're wrong call, you reappear after the market sells off due an unrelated event and claim you're right. You're a phony with severe mental issues.

Because of Evergrande?

Another profitable week. The year-to-date return increased another 2% to 67% and the Sharpe ratio increased to 2.15.

That was destriero:

Based on what evidence and reasoning?

I would think with this being Biden's first term, and him wanting re-election, no major financial crises would be allowed until his second term. But, I don't know.

Hope you're right.

I'm flat for now. I suspected a market sell-off, so I closed out my positions on Friday, rather than risk a gap down by accepting assignment of the underlying.

Another profitable three weeks. The year-to-date return increased 7.4% since my last post, for a total of 65% YTD, and the Sharpe ratio increased to 2.13. Regarding the IV I'm selling, I like to sell it as high as possible, at least 70%. Concerning the distance from the underlying, I look at...

How much can you lose if you're wrong?

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear -3x SRS ProShares UltraShort Real Estate -2x REX ProShares Short Real Estate -1x Why do you think housing is going to crash? The prediction is for increasing inflation, which makes houses more valuable relative to USD.

Concentration risk. I do not have a diversified portfolio.

3.1% on the value of the account starting on 1/4/2021, the first trading day of the year. The account value has grown by 57.6% since that date. I don't use margin. I only sell puts to the extent that I can take full assignment of the underlying without the use of margin. The underlying is what...

Sold puts that expired worthless on Friday. I'll be selling more puts on Monday, for next Friday expiration.

Another profitable week. The year-to-date return is up another 3.1% over last week to 57.6% and the Sharpe ratio increased to 2.05.

The next step is trading stocks with real money and consistently showing profits. Most people never achieve that.

He has a couple of more blog posts that might interest you: Selling Naked Strangles: The Math; and Selling Short Strangles And Straddles - Does It Work?

Here's an article that might jump-start your research into iron condors: Iron Condors or Short Strangles. On indices, the author initially thought iron condors were better, but then switched to short strangles.

Yes, you have a tinfoil hat on. Amazon is a trillion dollar company that functions as a quasi-state, complete with its own bureaucracy and court system. Its market cap is greater than the GDP of 95% of the countries in the world. Your data set means nothing to Amazon.