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  1. H

    How to determine the strength of a trend

    New alias eh Surf? Now, I really think Surf is an intelligent guy; I'm not going to get into a flame contest here. But I seem to recall us going around in circles on this topic a while back for about 100 pages or so. So as not to beat a "dead horse", I'll just re-state my main point from that...
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    For those that want an Aeron chair

    Have you thought of getting a piece of tempered glass instead? It works well and looks a whole lot classier.
  3. H

    money how much

    And I quote directly from their disclaimer on the website:
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    money how much

    You can't daytrade stocks with less than $25k, and I don't know of any futures brokers that accept $1k accounts. Your only bet is forex, or you could just send me a check for the amount you were going to lose. I'll even send you some software.
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    A Bad Experiance w/ Brandon Fredrickson

    I have no idea about Mr. Fredrikson, what he trades, how he trades, or anything like it, however, I think some things need to be pointed out. First, from the very few things I was on his site, all I found was stock information. This excludes him from NFA oversight immediately, so the CTA...
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    Explain economics

    So far almost no one has offered an explanation of the original poster's question, even you Grob. In fact, you simply tell me I need to "get a refund" and you spit out bullshit about econometrics, but you offered absolutely no new, intelligent input. Just negative comments for ego glorification...
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    Explain economics

    With regards to the ARM stuff, I found the source of my information. It was regarding speculative markets. California and D.C have conforming ARM percentages over 50%. However, the total number of conforming and jumbo loans in fixed terms is around 55%. Also, remember that most subprime loans...
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    Explain economics

    Not if they have high balances like most Americans....... As far as the mortgages go, I worked in that industry in the past. I can honestly say I saw as many interest-only loans as fixed, and the vast majority were ARMs. Also, Irwin Kellner (CBS Marketwatch) states 80% of seconds are...
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    Explain economics

    This analysis doesn't work for most consumers because most conusmer debt is in the form of variable interest. Especially considering about 80% of home loans are variable in some way and credit cards are adjusted to prime. Also the great majority of homeowners have fully adjustable HELOCs as...
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    Explain economics

    Perhaps I should reign in the topic and interject with my (semi-) qualified opinions.... If energy prices go up, then everything goes up. Oil is both an input to production and a necessity to transporting those products. Oil costs = inflation. This is why looking at the core CPI is pure...
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    How low will the greenback go?

    Though I don't really know the rationale and execution of their positions, I think many people forget that they could simply be hedging their exposure to the dollar. All of their wealth is tied to the dollar. In the event of a massive dollar decline, the real values of their wealth will...
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    inexpensive, cool trading desks

    I bet they have no, if not a negative, correlation. Most people I hear of that go out and blow a large sum of cash on equipment are beginners who give up within a year. Besides, a desk isn't equipment in my mind; it's simply a place to put your equipment. It's furniture that few people see in...
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    Stocks Climb on Benign Inflation Data (BENIGN???)

    You forgot food, which also rose, though not a huge amount overall. I hear far too many people talking about inflation only in CPI terms. They totally neglect the PPI, and seem to only concentrate on the CPI core. It's easy to say there's no inflation when you look at the data which shows no...
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    If China unpegs

    The real key here is the inflation differential. If China inflates less than the US, the US can effectively "export" its inflation. If the US is the main trading partner, it's not too severe of a problem. However, if China's inflation is higher, their currency will become overvalued and they...
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    I think a computer could do the same job the current Fed does now. But this still means we would have a central bank system in place. The question originally was should the Fed be disolved. I took this to mean the Federal Reserve system as a whole. I did not take it as a question on whether...
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    I would generally agree, but in this case governments are necessary. I subscribe to the monetary school of economics and I really dont' agree with fiscal means of economics control, as it is (in my opinion) to blame for our current day debt problems in the developed nations. This does not...
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    Devising An Opening Gap Strategy for YM

    What is the minimum gap size for the setup? What is the actual entry trigger (breakout of first 10 min range, entry on breach of yesterday's close, etc...)? It seems to me that the stop/target should be determined on the specifics of the entry. I would think an OR breakout entry on a gap of X...
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    Get rid of Alan Greenspace and the Fed?

    Lol....that's one of the dumbest ideas I've ever heard. I wonder if the person who though of it really understands the statement. If the state basically ignores all monetary theory, then the only thing left is fiscal policy. So the only way to induce economic stimulus is through government...
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    Exit methods for trend-traders

    One of the hardest parts of a trend exit is keeping it close enough to protect profits while letting the trend work. The typical parabolic exit is nice for protection, but it fails the latter stipulation for a good exit. One exit I think works well is a derivation of the parabolic that has a...
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    SHORT oil here

    Hank, did I just read a technically oriented post from you????? Didn't know quants used candlesticks..... Just playin'.....good luck and good weekend to ya. :p
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