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  1. J

    How Do We Nail the Bottom?

    That about sums it up in a nutshell, everything else is expensive BS. Solyaris, you point out the risk quite accurately!
  2. J

    Peter Schiff Argues We Will Have A Depression Worse Than The Last & States His Case

    Interesting how the feminist presenter and Art Laffer both push the same delusional PC barrow. Talk about the blind leading the blind, as time has shown, straight over a cliff! Peter Schiffer should demand the penny owing!
  3. J

    Ways to the success in system trading in equities and futures

    Hi, I just tried the ignore feature and as if by magic the troll was gone. How good is that! Best Regards Johno
  4. J

    "80% of traders lose money."

    Only one person has even hinted at a sound business approach to daytrading. I believe that the real question should be - " Does the income derived from daytrading equal or exceed all other legal viable alternatives available to you for equal risk. If not, you are in all probability simply...
  5. J

    Poll: Have we seen the bottom?

    If only Nostradamis was here, then and only then all would be revealed. Sadly we all just blindly stumble along!
  6. J

    Money management in long options

    Excellent, I would be interested to know how it trades along! Best Regards Johno
  7. J

    options on futures analytics software

    Hi dmo, In reference to Exotic I was thinking more along the lines of positions generally uneconomical for retail traders due to spreads, commissions etc, often used by arbitrage traders. The main reason for all the questions is more about the time required to become profficient and...
  8. J

    options on futures analytics software

    Hi dmo, Thanks for sharing your observations. Do you use the probability cones and three dimensional modeling, if you do are these concepts hard to learn! Are they of any particular value in general options trading or geared more towards exotic options combinations. Thanks and best...
  9. J

    options on futures analytics software

    Hi dmo, I assumed that Garch is simply a mathematical prediction that wasn't necessarily an improvement on observation and experience. Would OSET allow for improved timing when adjustments/morphing of positions are required and /or provide an opportunity for effective benchmarking...
  10. J

    options on futures analytics software

    Hi dmo, Any chance of sharing examples of what you have found to be the most useful features of the Hoadley software. Best Regards Johno
  11. J

    Money management in long options

    As you said ,you couldn't get set due to the wide spreads (probably due to high IV I suspect, increased risk premium usually equals reduced % return, once again nothing for nothing in the markets) Profits or Losses can only be achieved on positions that are actually held! Strong move to the...
  12. J

    Taking 103K to 1.2million by Year End 2008

    And many scalps. So much for risk management!
  13. J

    Money management in long options

    Generally I consider falling IV to be Neutral/ Bullish (with the caveat that just because IV is high doesn't mean that it can't go higher) therefore I view it as bottom picking! Also, just making the point that there were three potential directions with different probable outcomes. If I were...
  14. J

    Taking 103K to 1.2million by Year End 2008

    " BIG profits REQUIRE, BIG risks." So can we take it that you're a student of the Nick Leeson approach to trading!
  15. J

    Money management in long options

    Something you need to remember, the markets can and at times will exhibit any behavior. Here you're betting not only on picking the bottom, but also the speed of the anticipated bull reversal whilst in a strong bear move. All I can say is good luck with that and please post your results to let...
  16. J

    what's going on with es options today?

    Realistic response to Volitility! Think yourself lucky you've only got wide spreads, in the last few weeks apparently there were times on the ASX Options that you simply couldn't get a market! Best Regards Johno
  17. J

    Best Way to Play the Volatility using Options and Futures in ES and SPY

    Hi What Hedge, Just curious, would you care to share what you feel is the best approach at this juncture, considering the current market conditions. Best Regards Johno
  18. J

    futures falling extremely hard

    I have no doubts regarding the army strengthening security. It's the analysis of their motivation for doing so that is truly bizzare! Do you use the same techniques when analysing the markets, how has it worked so far?
  19. J

    futures falling extremely hard

    This one gets stacked right next to where we keep the copy of the Iraqi minister denying the U.S. troops had arrived. Pleeeease, unnamed Russians tried everything they could to save the Americans but they were just too pig headed to listen. You've got to be trying at bolstering people thru...
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