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Price action needed to validate a sell... http://www.street-noise.net/stocks/stocks-are-now-entering-both-a-time-period-and-a-price-zone-of-heightened-risk-the-missing-piece-of-the-bearish-puzzle-is-validating-local-price-action/

Method is NOT for sale, but I don't mind leveraging up the analysis (same reason that hedge funds manage OPM...)

We've been nailing (and trading ) the important swings in Crude Oil. Here's our recent trade logic: http://www.street-noise.net/energy/price-too-low-leads-to-congestion/

Here's the trade logic I put together to setup a scenario for a top in oil shares within days of the high in XLE in early August: http://www.street-noise.net/energy/trouble-ahead-for-oil-shares/ Also, used the input from my crude oil analysis as follows...

Still bearish: http://www.street-noise.net/energy/price-too-low-leads-to-congestion/

Took partial profits here based on this trade logic... http://www.street-noise.net/energy/covering-all-shorts-except-for-longer-term-short-positions/

Short Crude begins to work: http://www.street-noise.net/energy/expect-71-72-as-a-minimum-downside-target/

Shorted in this region... http://www.street-noise.net/energy/expect-pit-bears-to-sell-sep-in-large-size/

Looked for a top to sell in this region... http://www.street-noise.net/energy/battle-for-control-over-intermediate-trend-now-raging/

To recap: turned bearish 7/18 http://www.street-noise.net/energy/the-order-flow-bias-is-now-down/

The analysis I do tells me were in a trade location that is compelling, and I'm trying some tactical shorts intraday to see if one catches, but I have not seen the bids break and until they do stock indices tend to drift higher than you thibnk they should.

Liquidating longs into this rally...now looking to reverse to short IF bids begin to break down...Here's my current trade logic: http://www.street-noise.net/stocks/now-closely-watching-two-indications-this-week-for-further-validation-of-an-emerging-major-top-in-the-stock-market/

Actively stalking for a possible short in stock index futures...Here's what I'm looking at... http://www.street-noise.net/stocks/now-closely-watching-two-indications-this-week-for-further-validation-of-an-emerging-major-top-in-the-stock-market/

Actively stalking for a possible short in stock index futures...Here's what I'm looking at... http://www.street-noise.net/stocks/now-closely-watching-two-indications-this-week-for-further-validation-of-an-emerging-major-top-in-the-stock-market/

Don't like the risk-reward potential and liquidating longs in August...here's the logic: http://www.street-noise.net/stocks/fair-is-foul/

Here was the trade logic for increasing long exposure in ealry Summer '06... http://www.street-noise.net/stocks/primary-trend-bull-may-be-emerging-in-pph/ and... http://www.street-noise.net/stocks/stingy-dow-offers-a-compelling-risk-reward/

This journal tracks my daily analysis and trading plan as applied to trading broader stock indices... I've caught a good number of the important swings in stock indices -- come along for the ride... Here is the recent series of turning points which I traded and the trade logic... The...

I've been using this type of stop procedure when building strategic (longer term trades) for well over a decade -- it's been very robust -- and minimizes premature stop outs. The procedure is fully disclosed here: http://www.street-noise.net/think/how-to-validate-meaningful-stop-levels/

The 3rd installment now posted to Trading forum under: "What Works in Trading & Why: Tactical vs Startegic Correction (Part 2B)"

3rd installment now posted to this forum as: "What Works in Trading & Why: Tactical vs Startegic Correction (Part 2B)"