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Hold positions representative of the longer term trends underlying the U.S. economy and equity markets. The growing workforce and workforce productivity, shareholder incentives, innovation, liquidity, lender of last resort, stable debt and currency, firmly put the odds in one's favor. Small /...

You have to define your time expenditure / expectations within your personal situation. Do you currently have a day job ? Does the job require diligence and focus ? Does it require a long commute / driving your own vehicle? How much trading capital do you have? How much $ non discretionary...

90% of my signaling / transactions fall on definitive dates throughout the year. Depending on the model's heuristics, these can be (1st trading day nearest to) Jan 2, Feb 1st, May 1st, 2nd Monday of July, Oct 1st, and Nov 1st. The rest (10% of signals ) fall on Mondays depending on weekly...

A pick up in volatility in the U.S. equity markets can be quantified by the price of the S&P500 in relation to moving averages. James Director Quantitative Research xxx Boulder, CO

A good, informative interview on "backtesting" systems. Is it skill or is it luck ...

I've traded NYF futures in the 1990's, SP / Nasdaq 100 e-minis up until a few years ago. Now I "compound" assets over long time frames / holding periods using tactical models within tax deferred account using QQQ, small cap value, sectors, bonds, money market. Less transactions / more free time...

Not sure day trading is something to "aspire" to. Do you have a career / degree path ? Do you have a decent day job ( don't quit your day job for trading ). If you've worked / produced income, open a Roth IRA with a reasonable sized, initial contribution ( maybe a family member can help ). If...

Not sure what markets that you've been trading, but the real money is made by positioning in long term trends and growth of the U.S. equities markets via small cap value and mid cap growth stock universes. Short term trends reflect randomness and chaos; hard to tell the "why" of why a short term...

.... At times, money is made by sitting on one's hands

Expected earnings and investor emotions The fundamental value of a company’s stock is based on its current and expected earnings, and evolves relatively slowly. A company’s stock price, on the other hand, is simply the result of supply and demand on any given day. The daily demand for a...

That sounds like a use of leverage. Be careful to not "blow out" the account as, if one's account balance goes below "0" mark to market and one can't make up the "deficit", then there are consequences ...

"Top traders"? "Killing"? Sounds like the kind of language that can get someone into trouble ...

If you are producing those kinds of returns then, the probabilities of loss will most likely catch up with you ... - Don't quit your day job. - Take some of that "house" money that you've generated and open and fund a Roth IRA. The tax deferral will help compound assets over taxable much...

Oil service stocks have decent reward to risk in the winter spring months over that last 30 years. This year was no exception ( see column G http://tinyurl.com/z67lyrd) James Director Quantitative Research

Many funds hire experts grounded in high level mathematics and physics and try to transfer those competencies into finance. Yet it just becomes a desperate backtest chase within shorter and shorter time frames and more and more computing power; ie randomness. Yet, some basic premises become...

Stay with U.S. markets as they have an advantage or edge in that the underlying long term trend reflects solid stable policy, product innovation and development, persistence of credit cycle through monetary easing, incentives towards rewarding shareholders, liquidity, etc. Mohamed El-Erian has...

These concerns are the dilemas of trading. The work ( hours put into research and monitoring for trade setups over X markets) and resources ( commissions, data feed, computer equipment, tax prep time and costs, mental fatigue ) put into the process. The uncertainty, management of behavioral and...

Some standard financial planner / investment consultant questions: What are your goals ? Do you want to "make money" ? Do you want to accumulate assets over a long term period ? What is / will be your strategy ? Do you have tax deferred accounts ( Roth IRA, 401K, ? ) Do you have family...

Links that deal with the 2 most popular topics on this site http://www.psyfitec.com/2010/12/technical-analysis-on-display.html https://www.trendfollowing.com/2016/01/21/ep-417-robert-carver-interview-with-michael-covel-on-trend-following-radio/

Whatever you attempt, make sure you that can formulate objectively derived outcomes from a data set or indicator ( numerically based is usually the best methodology for empirical testing ), and extrapolate a probabilities framework and rule set that can produce repeatable and transferable...